张艺, 刘蕊. 考虑不确定性风险的虚拟电厂优化调度模型研究[J]. 智慧电力, 2024, 52(8): 9-18.
引用本文: 张艺, 刘蕊. 考虑不确定性风险的虚拟电厂优化调度模型研究[J]. 智慧电力, 2024, 52(8): 9-18.
ZHANG Yi, LIU Rui. Virtual Power Plant Optimal Scheduling Model Considering Uncertain Risks[J]. Smart Power, 2024, 52(8): 9-18.
Citation: ZHANG Yi, LIU Rui. Virtual Power Plant Optimal Scheduling Model Considering Uncertain Risks[J]. Smart Power, 2024, 52(8): 9-18.

考虑不确定性风险的虚拟电厂优化调度模型研究

Virtual Power Plant Optimal Scheduling Model Considering Uncertain Risks

  • 摘要: 为使虚拟电厂(VPP)更好地满足我国新型电力系统的发展需要,提出了一种考虑不确定性风险的虚拟电厂优化调度模型。首先,在热电联合虚拟电厂基础上加装碳捕集和电转气设备,实现CO2的循环利用,并通过储碳和储氢装置解耦碳循环和电解水过程;其次,对虚拟电厂内风光、负荷等不确定因素进行建模,基于场景分析法对日前场景进行随机优化,并利用条件风险价值理论(CVaR)衡量虚拟电厂的交易风险;最后,以虚拟电厂运行效益最大化为目标,引入阶梯型碳交易机制和需求响应,建立典型场景下虚拟电厂优化调度模型。算例分析表明,所提方法能有效降低虚拟电厂的碳排放,对VPP进行低碳经济调度具有指导意义。

     

    Abstract: In order to make the virtual power plant(VPP)better meet the development needs of China ’s new power system,an optimal scheduling model of VPP considering uncertain risk is proposed. Firstly,carbon capture and electric to gas conversion equipment are installed on the basis of a combined thermal and electric VPP to achieve the recycling of CO2,and the carbon cycle and electrolysis water process are decoupled through carbon and hydrogen storage devices;Secondly,the uncertain factors such as wind and solar power,load,etc. are modeled within the VPP,the day ahead scenario is optimized randomly based on scenario analysis method.Conditional Value at Risk(CVaR)theory is used to measure the transaction risk of the virtual power plant;Finally,with the goal of maximizing the operational efficiency of VPPs,a stepped carbon trading mechanism and demand response are introduced to establish an optimization scheduling model for VPPs in typical scenarios. The numerical analysis shows that the proposed method can effectively reduce the carbon emissions of VPPs,and has guiding significance for low-carbon economic scheduling of VPP.

     

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