Research on a forecasting model for the new service connection demand of single-phase electric energy meters based on electricity consumption characteristics
HOU Rui, YAN Shaokui, LIU Pengyuan. Research on a forecasting model for the new service connection demand of single-phase electric energy meters based on electricity consumption characteristics[J]. Ningxia Electric Power, 2026, (1).
HOU Rui, YAN Shaokui, LIU Pengyuan. Research on a forecasting model for the new service connection demand of single-phase electric energy meters based on electricity consumption characteristics[J]. Ningxia Electric Power, 2026, (1). DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-3643.2026.01.009.
The demand for new service connections and electric energy meter installations is significantly driven by electricity consumption growth.To improve forecasting accuracy and resource allocation efficiency
this study investigates a demand forecasting approach for newly installed meters based on electricity consumption characteristics.Key influencing factors are identified
and typical growth patterns are extracted through analysis of user electricity consumption across different industries and regions.A combined forecasting model integrating time series and machine learning algorithms is constructed
incorporating multi-source data and dynamic trends.Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed model outperforms traditional methods in terms of accuracy
stability
and adaptability
providing effective decision support for power enterprise expansion planning.