黄鹏, 徐鹏飞, 岳超, et al. Prediction of multi-agent investment scale in new-type power systems based on system dynamics[J]. Ningxia Electric Power, 2025, (6).
黄鹏, 徐鹏飞, 岳超, et al. Prediction of multi-agent investment scale in new-type power systems based on system dynamics[J]. Ningxia Electric Power, 2025, (6). DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-3643.2025.06.002.
the new-type power system is characterized by the coordinated development of generation
grid
load
and storage
constituting a complex and systematic project.To scientifically forecast the investment scales of multiple agents
this paper develops a system dynamics-based prediction model and conducts a simulation analysis using the Ningxia region as a case study.The results show that the investment scales and evolution trends of generation
grid
and energy storage differ significantly under various development scenarios
highlighting the significant impacts of economic growth rate
power transmission capacity
and renewable energy penetration on investment demand.The findings can provide a valuable reference for investment planning and decision-making of relevant stakeholders in new-type power systems.