YANG Long, QIN Jianxiang, YANG Bo, et al. An evaluation strategy for renewable energy output under extreme weather conditions using a temporal convolutional neural network[J]. Ningxia Electric Power, 2024, (3).
YANG Long, QIN Jianxiang, YANG Bo, et al. An evaluation strategy for renewable energy output under extreme weather conditions using a temporal convolutional neural network[J]. Ningxia Electric Power, 2024, (3).DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-3643.2024.03.003.
Against the backdrop of high penetration rates of renewable energy
the abrupt reduction in output caused by extreme weather conditions poses a significant challenge to the safe operation of the power system.Therefore
accurately assessing the depth of renewable energy output under extreme weather conditions is crucial for formulating operational strategies for the power system.This paper proposes a new method to evaluate renewable energy output using an improved deep temporal convolutional network(DeepTCN)approach.By designing a temporal convolutional neural network(CNN)architecture with dynamically weighted inputs
this method precisely quantifies and estimates the impact of extreme weather on renewable energy output
providing risk assessment information for formulating the operation mode of power systems under extreme weather conditions.Calculation results on the actual renewable energy output dataset of the power system show that
compared with conventional time series prediction methods
the proposed method can improve the normalized root mean square error
symmetric mean absolute percentage error
and mean absolute scaled error indicators by 1.2
0.1
and 0.22
respectively.Therefore
this approach enables a more accurate evaluation of renewable energy output under extreme weather conditions.