王海燕, 袁新平. User sensitivity and complaint prediction for power outage based on situational awareness[J]. 2023, 25(2). DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1009-1831.2023.02.017.
In the power grid outage user sensitivity and complaint prediction
the inaccurate prediction results affect the precise service of the power grid company
so a situational awarenessbased grid outage user sensitivity and complaint prediction method is designed. Through the Enterprise Miner workstation module and the Enterprise Guide module in the SAS software
the grid power outage user sensitivity and complaint-related data are collected
including the power outage sensitive user tag data
fault handling data
power outage event data
customer call data
and 95598 work order data. Perform preprocessing on the mining data such as missing data processing
abnormal data processing
and alarm false positive and false negative data processing. Based on situational awareness technology and random forest algorithm
a grid outage user sensitivity and complaint prediction model is constructed to realize user sensitivity to outage and complaint prediction. The method is used to predict the sensitivity and complaints of users about power outages in a power grid in a certain area
and the prediction performance of the method is tested. The test results show that the method has a precision and recall rate higher than 90%
the F-measure data value is high
the AUC area is large
and the data sensitivity is always greater than 97%
indicating that the design method has superior grid outage user sensitivity and complaint prediction performance.