胡怡霜, 夏翔, 丁一, et al. A multivariate regression load forecasting algorithm based on factor and tendency analysis feedback[J]. 2018, 20(6). DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1009-1831.2018.06.006.
A weather concerning multivariate regression model combining with factor analysis feedback and tendency analysis feedback is proposed to reduce the counting burden in verifing accuracy of forecasting algorithm. Firstly
the relationship between weather and load indexes are evaluated by factor analysis; Secondly
a tendency analysis about time-varying load indexes is demonstrated; Thirdly
the forecasting equations are presented by multivariate nonlinear regression analysis; Lastly
in forecasting verification process
factor analysis and tendency analysis are applied in the forecasting data
and the error between the feedback of forecasting data and history data are treated as the accuracy verification principle. Numerical examples are given
presenting the accuracy and effectiveness of the proposed method.