1. 国网新疆电力有限公司,新疆,乌鲁木齐,830000
2. 国网新疆电力有限公司经济技术研究院,新疆,乌鲁木齐,830000
3. 华北电力大学,北京,102206
网络出版:2025-09-05,
纸质出版:2025-09-05
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周专, 边家瑜, 于志勇, 陈衡, 吴红杉. 基于AHP-TOPSIS的水电站与抽水蓄能联合运行的性能综合评价方法[J]. 湖南电力, 2025, 45(4): 104-111.
ZHOU Zhuan, BIAN Jiayu, YU Zhiyong, et al. Performance Comprehensive Evaluation Method for Hydropower Station and Pumped Storage Joint Operation Based on AHP-TOPSIS[J]. 2025, 45(4): 104-111.
周专, 边家瑜, 于志勇, 陈衡, 吴红杉. 基于AHP-TOPSIS的水电站与抽水蓄能联合运行的性能综合评价方法[J]. 湖南电力, 2025, 45(4): 104-111. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1008-0198.2025.04.015.
ZHOU Zhuan, BIAN Jiayu, YU Zhiyong, et al. Performance Comprehensive Evaluation Method for Hydropower Station and Pumped Storage Joint Operation Based on AHP-TOPSIS[J]. 2025, 45(4): 104-111. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1008-0198.2025.04.015.
为科学评估水电站与抽水蓄能联合运行的综合性能
提出一种基于层次分析法(analytic hierarchy process
AHP)与逼近理想解排序法(technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution
TOPSIS)相结合的多指标综合评价模型。首先
从经济性、技术性、环境效益、水情及政策5个维度出发
构建包含发电效率、调峰能力、碳排放强度、来水量变化等11项指标的综合评价体系。其次
采用AHP确定各指标权重以体现不同维度的差异性影响
并通过TOPSIS计算各运行方案与理想解的贴近度
实现联合运行模式的优劣排序。最后
以某区域水电站与抽水蓄能联合工程为实例进行验证分析。结果表明:相较于传统单一评价方法
AHP-TOPSIS模型能够有效兼顾主客观因素
量化评价结果
其中调峰能力与动态投资回收期对综合性能影响显著;同时
联合运行方案中储能容量配置与调度策略的协同优化可提升系统综合效益15%以上。研究结果为多能互补系统中水电-抽蓄联合运行的方案优选与决策制定提供了理论依据
对推动清洁能源高效利用具有实际意义。
In order to scientifically evaluate the comprehensive performance of the joint operation of hydropower station and pumped storage
a multi-index comprehensive evaluation model based on the combination of analytic hierarchy process(AHP) and technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution(TOPSIS) is proposed. Firstly
from the five dimensions of economy
technology
environmental benefits
water conditions and policies
a comprehensive evaluation system of 11 indicators
including power generation efficiency
peak regulation capacity
carbon emission intensity
and changes in the amount of incoming water is constructed. Secondly
AHP is used to determine the weights of each index to reflect the differential influence of different dimensions
and the closeness of each operation scheme to the ideal solution is calculated through TOPSIS to realize the ranking of the advantages and disadvantages of the joint operation mode. Finally
the joint project of hydropower station and pumped storage in a certain region is taken as an example for verification and analysis. The results show that
compared with the traditional single evaluation method
the AHP-TOPSIS model can effectively take into account the subjective and objective factors
and quantify the evaluation results
among which the peak regulation capacity and dynamic payback period have a significant impact on the comprehensive performance. At the same time
the collaborative optimization of energy storage capacity allocation and scheduling strategy in the joint operation scheme can improve the comprehensive benefit of the system by more than 15%. The study results provide a theoretical basis for the scheme optimization and decision-making of hydropower-pumped storage joint operation in multi-energy complementary systems
and have practical significance for promoting the efficient utilization of clean energy.
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