1. 华北电力大学经济与管理学院
2. 国网智慧车联网技术有限公司
3. 国网陕西电力科学研究院
纸质出版:2025
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刘达, 张勤霞, 罗燊, 等. 基于差异化分组配置的省级风光消纳机制研究[J]. 智慧电力, 2025,53(12):42-50.
刘达, 张勤霞, 罗燊, et al. 基于差异化分组配置的省级风光消纳机制研究[J]. 2025, 53(12): 42-50.
刘达, 张勤霞, 罗燊, 等. 基于差异化分组配置的省级风光消纳机制研究[J]. 智慧电力, 2025,53(12):42-50. DOI: 10.20204/j.sp.2025.12005.
刘达, 张勤霞, 罗燊, et al. 基于差异化分组配置的省级风光消纳机制研究[J]. 2025, 53(12): 42-50. DOI: 10.20204/j.sp.2025.12005.
可再生能源消纳责任权重制度是促进风电、光伏消纳的关键制度保障。然而,现行权重分配机制采用统一标准,未能充分考虑地区间资源禀赋与发展基础的差异,易引发省际公平性质疑并导致资源配置效率损失。为此,提出一种基于差异化分组的省级风光消纳责任权重配置方法。首先,构建涵盖资源条件、电网结构、负荷特性等多维指标的消纳能力评估体系,并运用层次聚类法将各省划分为“组内同质、组间异质”的集群,以精准识别其消纳潜力差异。其次,结合历史数据与组合赋权法,实现组间差异化分配与组内初始分配;进而引入改进的零和收益数据包络分析(ZSG-DEA)模型,对组内权重进行效率优化。最后,采用基尼系数与泰尔指数对分配结果的公平性进行量化评估。结果表明,相较于传统分配方案,该方法使2项公平性指标分别降低了7.32%与6.15%,有效促进了各省在风光消纳责任分担中的合理性与公平性。
The renewable energy accommodation obligation weight system is a key institutional guarantee for promoting the integration of wind and photovoltaic power. However,the current weight allocation mechanism adopts a uniform standard,failing to fully account for the disparities in regional resource endowments and development foundations,which can easily lead to inter-provincial fairness concerns and efficiency losses in resource allocation. To address this,this paper proposes a provincial wind and solar accommodation obligation weight allocation method based on differentiated grouping. Firstly,an accommodation capacity evaluation system encompassing multi-dimensional indicators such as resource conditions,grid structure,and load characteristics is constructed. Hierarchical clustering is applied to categorize provinces into clusters that are “homogeneous within groups and heterogeneous between groups,”allowing for precise identification of differences in accommodation potential. Secondly,based on historical data and a combination weighting method,differentiated allocation between groups and initial allocation within groups are performed. Subsequently,an improved zero-sum gains data envelopment analysis model is introduced to optimize the efficiency of weight allocation within groups. Finally,the Gini coefficient and Theil index are employed to quantitatively evaluate the fairness of the allocation results. The results show that compared to the traditional allocation scheme,this method reduces the two aforementioned fairness indicators by 7.32% and 6.15% respectively,effectively enhancing the rationality and fairness of responsibility sharing for wind and solar power accommodation among provinces.
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