可用及不可用时段风能太阳能互补性评估方法研究

任国瑞; 闫旭辰; 王玮; 万杰

doi:10.19805/j.cnki.jcspe.2025.240065

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可用及不可用时段风能太阳能互补性评估方法研究

新能源与储能 | 更新时间：2025-11-28

- 可用及不可用时段风能太阳能互补性评估方法研究
- Study on Wind and Solar Complementary Assessment Methods for Available and Unavailable Periods
- 动力工程学报 2025年45卷第4期页码：554-562
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 华北电力大学控制与计算机工程学院,北京,102206
  2. 哈尔滨工业大学空间环境与物质科学研究院,黑龙江,哈尔滨,150001
- 作者简介：
  
  [ "任国瑞(1993—),男,甘肃白银人,副教授,博士,研究方向为风能太阳能不确定性主动平抑方法,E-mail:guorui@ncepu.edu.cn" ]
- 基金信息：
  
  国家自然科学基金资助项目(52107091);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(2023YQ002)
- DOI：10.19805/j.cnki.jcspe.2025.240065
  中图分类号： TM61
- 网络出版：2025-04-28，
  
  纸质出版：2025
- 稿件说明：
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任国瑞,闫旭辰,王玮,万杰. 可用及不可用时段风能太阳能互补性评估方法研究动力工程学报, 2025, 45(4): 554-562 https://doi.

org/10.19805/j.cnki.jcspe.2025.240065
任国瑞,闫旭辰,王玮,万杰. 可用及不可用时段风能太阳能互补性评估方法研究动力工程学报, 2025, 45(4): 554-562 https://doi. DOI： 10.19805/j.cnki.jcspe.2025.240065.

org/10.19805/j.cnki.jcspe.2025.240065 DOI：

摘要

定义风能与太阳能出力波动幅度比

对相关系数进行改进来量化可用时段的互补性

并基于一种新能源出力不可用时长及对应时段另一新能源的出力幅度来定义不可用时段风能与太阳能的互补性评估指标。将所提出的指标用于评估黑龙江省风能与太阳能的互补性

同时分析了风能与太阳能装机容量比对互补性的影响。结果表明:相比黑龙江西部地区

东部地区风能与太阳能可用及不可用时段都表现出较大的互补性;在一年中

4月份风能与太阳能可用时段互补性较小

而不可用时段互补性在6月、7月和8月最小。

Abstract

The ratio of fluctuation amplitudes of wind and solar power was defined

and it was used to improve the correlation coefficients to quantify the complementarity during available periods. Meanwhile

based on the unavailability time of one new energy source and the output amplitude of the other new energy source in the corresponding period

the complementary evaluation indicator of wind and solar energy during the unavailability period was defined. The proposed indicators were used to assess the complementarity of wind and solar energy in Heilongjiang province

and the influence of the installed capacity ratio of wind and solar power on the complementarity was analyzed. Results show that compared with the western region of Heilongjiang

the available and unavailable periods of wind and solar energy in the eastern region show greater complementarity. Over a year

the available periods of wind and solar energy are less complementary in April

while the least complementary periods are available in June

July and August.

关键词

Keywords

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