纸质出版:2026
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李 杰, 陈 勇, 焦 龙, 等. 高比例新能源并网下电力系统多源融合惯量估计方法[J]. 电力系统保护与控制, 2026,54(18).
LI Jie, CHEN Yong, JIAO Long, et al. A multi-source fusion inertia estimation method for power systems with high penetration of renewable energy[J]. Power System Protection and Control, 2026, 54(18).
李 杰, 陈 勇, 焦 龙, 等. 高比例新能源并网下电力系统多源融合惯量估计方法[J]. 电力系统保护与控制, 2026,54(18). DOI: 10.19783/j.cnki.pspc.260066.
LI Jie, CHEN Yong, JIAO Long, et al. A multi-source fusion inertia estimation method for power systems with high penetration of renewable energy[J]. Power System Protection and Control, 2026, 54(18). DOI: 10.19783/j.cnki.pspc.260066.
针对高比例新能源并网下电力系统惯量时变特性显著、单一估计方法难以兼顾精度与稳健性的问题,提出一种多源融合分层惯量估计架构。前端集成加权最小二乘法与Conv-Transformer混合神经网络,分别从机理驱动与数据驱动角度实现惯量初步估计。中间层采用基于自适应胡贝尔残差加权递推最小二乘法的参数跟踪策略,通过动态遗忘因子与Huber影响因子的协同作用,实现阻尼系数D与同步功率系数K的稳健跟踪。后端采用动态权重扩展卡尔曼滤波,基于多源估计差异动态调整观测噪声协方差,实现惯量的自适应优化融合与快速跟踪。基于新英格兰10机系统的仿真验证表明,所提方法在垂直阶跃、参数漂移等极端工况下均表现优异,具备出色的时变惯量跟踪能力与抗干扰性能,为高比例新能源接入场景下电力系统惯量在线精准估计提供了可行技术方案。
To address the pronounced time-varying characteristics of power system inertia under high penetration of renewable energy and the difficulty of achieving both accuracy and robustness using a single estimation method
a hierarchical multi-source fusion architecture for inertia estimation is proposed. At the front layer
weighted least squares and a Conv-Transformer hybrid neural network are integrated to achieve preliminary inertia estimations from mechanism-driven and data-driven perspectives
respectively. At the intermediate layer
a parameter tracking strategy based on adaptive Huber residual-weighted recursive least squares is employed. Through the coordinated use of a dynamic forgetting factor and Huber influence function
the damping coefficient (D) and synchronizing power coefficient (K) are robustly tracked. At the back layer
a dynamic weight extended Kalman filter adaptively adjusts the observation noise covariance according to the discrepancies among multi-source estimates
enabling adaptive fusion and rapid tracking of system inertia. Simulations based on the New England 10-machine system demonstrate that the proposed method exhibits excellent performance under extreme conditions such as vertical steps and parameter drift
with strong capabilities for tracking time-varying inertia and rejecting disturbances. The proposed method offers an effective solution for online inertia estimation in power systems with high renewable energy penetration.
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MISHRA S, SAINI P, KUMAR K, et al. Estimation of time-varying power system inertia using gated recurrent unit model[C] // 2025 IEEE 5th International Conference on Sustainable Energy and Future Electric Transportation (SEFET), July 9-12, 2025, Jaipur, India: 1-5.
TAN B, ZHAO J. Data-driven adaptive unscented Kalman filter for time-varying inertia and damping estimation of utility-scale IBRS considering current limiter[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2024, 39(6): 7331-7345.
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