XIONG Wenjing, SONG Xiaoyu, YUAN Liang, et al. 基于事件触发自适应MPC的电解铝工业园区孤网多时间尺度优化调度[J]. Power System Protection and Control, 2025, (22). DOI: 10.19783/j.cnki.pspc.250056.
新型绿色电解铝工业园区孤立电网具有负荷大、新能源占比高、调节能力有限等特点,其运行易受转折性天气及阳极效应等不确定因素影响,导致光伏出力与电解铝负荷剧烈波动,威胁电网安全。因此,提出一种日前、日内两阶段多时间尺度优化调度方法。日前阶段以系统经济性最优为目标,优化火电与储能的出力计划。日内阶段,兼顾系统经济性最优与调整量最小,采用模型预测控制(model predictive control
Isolated power grids in new green electrolytic aluminum industrial parks are characterized by large loads
high proportion of renewable energy
and limited regulating capability. Their operation is easily affected by uncertainties such as sudden weather changes and anode effects
resulting in severe fluctuations in photovoltaic output and electrolytic aluminum load that threaten grid security. To address these issues
this paper proposes a two-stage multi-timescale optimal scheduling method consisting of day-ahead and intra-day phases. In the day-ahead phase
the objective is to minimize system operating cost by optimizing thermal power and storage output plans. In the intra-day phase
both economic efficiency and minimal adjustment effort are considered. A rolling optimization strategy based on model predictive control (MPC) is adopted to update the schedule
while leveraging the virtual battery characteristics of electrolytic aluminum load to mitigate source-load power fluctuations and forecasting errors. To overcome the limitation of conventional fixed-step MPC
which struggles to balance optimization accuracy and computational efficiency
an event-triggered adaptive variable-step MPC strategy is proposed. This strategy dynamically adjusts the scheduling step size according to real-time power fluctuations and prediction errors. Case studies show that the proposed method effectively reduces photovoltaic curtailment
alleviates thermal unit regulation pressure
and enhances the flexibility
economy
and sustainability of electrolytic aluminum industrial park operations.