WU Fangquan, LI Siqi, HU Junhan, et al. 基于VMD-SE-CNN-BiLSTM的电动汽车充电负荷短期预测[J]. Power System Protection and Control, 2025, (22). DOI: 10.19783/j.cnki.pspc.241701.
with the rapid growth of electric vehicle (EV) ownership
accurate forecasting EV charging loads has become a crucial research topic for power grid planning and charging infrastructure optimization. To address the challenges of traditional forecasting methods in handling the complex nonlinear characteristics and dynamically coupled influencing factors in load data
this paper proposes a charging load forecasting model that integrates data preprocessing
variational mode decomposition-sample entropy (VMD-SE) data reconstruction
and a convolutional neural network-bidirectional long short-term memory (CNN-BiLSTM) deep learning framework. First
the Gaussian mixture model-K-nearest neighbor (GMM-KNN) method is utilized to detect and fill abnormal and missing values in the data
improving data quality. Next
VMD is employed to decompose the load data
and SE is applied to select and reconstruct important modal signals to extract multi-scale features. Finally
a hybrid deep learning framework combining CNN and BiLSTM models is constructed to capture local features and temporal dependencies for accurate forecasting. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method exhibits high accuracy and robustness in multi-season load forecasting
significantly outperforming traditional methods. This provides an effective solution for EV charging load forecasting.