EN计及碳配额和绿证市场影响的多能互补基地省间外送 优化决策模型
An Optimal Decision Model for Inter-provincial Delivery of Multi-energy Complementary Bases Considering the Impact of Carbon Quota and Green Certificate Market
- 现代电力 2026年43卷第2期 页码：380-389
- 作者机构：
1. 南瑞集团有限公司(国网电力科学研究院有限公司),江苏省,南京市,210003
2. 北京科东电力控制系统有限责任公司, 海淀区,北京市,100194
- 作者简介：
[ "习培玉(1983)，女，硕士，高级工程师，通信作者，研究方向为电力市场理论，E-mail：xlc_2011@126.com" ]
[ "王清波(1977)，男，本科，高级工程师，研究方向为电力市场机制、电力供需分析、电力交易平台研发" ]
[ "亢楠(1979)，女，硕士，助理工程师，研究方向为电力现货、绿证、绿电交易业务" ]
[ "袁明珠(1985)，女，硕士，高级工程师，研究方向为能源电力发展战略、电力市场机制" ]
[ "郑世强(1993)，男，硕士，助理工程师，研究方向为电力市场机制及电力交易平台研发" ]
- 基金信息：国家自然科学基金资助项目（U22B20110）。
DOI：10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2024.0018
中图分类号： 2-
纸质出版：2026
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
习培玉, 王清波, 亢楠, 等. 计及碳配额和绿证市场影响的多能互补基地省间外送 优化决策模型[J]. 现代电力, 2026,43(2):380-389.
XI Peiyu, WANG Qingbo, KANG Nan, et al. An Optimal Decision Model for Inter-provincial Delivery of Multi-energy Complementary Bases Considering the Impact of Carbon Quota and Green Certificate Market[J]. 2026, 43(2): 380-389.
习培玉, 王清波, 亢楠, 等. 计及碳配额和绿证市场影响的多能互补基地省间外送 优化决策模型[J]. 现代电力, 2026,43(2):380-389. DOI： 10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2024.0018.
XI Peiyu, WANG Qingbo, KANG Nan, et al. An Optimal Decision Model for Inter-provincial Delivery of Multi-energy Complementary Bases Considering the Impact of Carbon Quota and Green Certificate Market[J]. 2026, 43(2): 380-389. DOI： 10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2024.0018.
摘要
多能互补基地的建设对促进清洁能源消纳，提高系统运行稳定性发挥着至关重要的作用。随着碳配额政策的发布和绿电、绿证市场的发展，各类电源运行效益受到多方面的影响，电力交易市场越发复杂，如何根据市场内外部环境确定多能系统优化运行方案，是实现多能互补基地最大能源利用率以及系统收益的难题。考虑新能源随机性与相关性，提出了基于Copula理论的新能源出力场景生成方法，得到基于相关性的新能源预测出力曲线；结合碳配额和绿证市场政策要求，以新能源送出功率最大、送出通道利用率最高和系统能耗成本最低为目标，建立省间外送决策优化模型，并采用NSGA-II算法对模型进行求解。算例验证分析表明，所述模型能够在考虑新能源出力不确定性，市场政策措施影响的基础上得到完善的多能互补基地优化运行方案，有效反映了市场政策措施对发电企业运行效益的影响，可为电力运营及监管机构制定规则，引导市场健康有序发展提供依据。
Abstract
The construction of multi-energy complementary bases plays a vital role in promoting the consumption of clean energy and improving the stability of system operation. With the release of carbon quota policy and the development of green electricity and green certificate market
the operation efficiency of various power supplies has been affected by many factors
leading to an increasingly intricate power trading market. The determination of the optimal operation plan for multi-energy systems according to the internal and external environment of the market
presents a significant challenge in achieving maximum energy utilization efficiency and system benefits within a multi-energy complementary base. In view of the randomness and correlation of new energy
a new energy output scenario generation method is proposed based on Copula theory
and the actual output curve of new energy is thus obtained. In accordance with the policy requirements of carbon quota and green certificate market
an optimization model for inter-provincial export decision-making is established with the aim of maximizing both the output power of new energy and the utilization rate of output channel
while simultaneously minimizing the system energy consumption cost. NSGA-II algorithm is employed to solve this model. The example verification analysis demonstrates the capability of the proposed model in formulating a perfect optimization operation scheme for the multi-energy complementary bases
taking into account the uncertainty of new energy output and the influence of market policies and measures. This approach effectively elucidates the impact of market policies and measures on the operation efficiency of power generation enterprises
thereby offering a solid foundation for the power operation and regulatory authorities to formulate rules and guide the healthy
orderly development of the market.
关键词
Keywords
references
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