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纸质出版:2026
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苏立新. 《新型能源体系建设“十五五”规划》深度解读[J]. 热力发电, 2026,(9).
苏立新. 《新型能源体系建设“十五五”规划》深度解读[J]. Thermal Power Generation, 2026, (9).
苏立新. 《新型能源体系建设“十五五”规划》深度解读[J]. 热力发电, 2026,(9). DOI: 10.19666/j.rlfd.202606169.
苏立新. 《新型能源体系建设“十五五”规划》深度解读[J]. Thermal Power Generation, 2026, (9). DOI: 10.19666/j.rlfd.202606169.
【目的】国家发展改革委、国家能源局印发的《新型能源体系建设“十五五”规划》确立了2030年初步建成清洁低碳安全高效新型能源体系的目标,提出非化石能源消费比重达25%、发电量比重达50%、单位发电量碳排放下降超过10%等关键指标。为深入理解该规划对能源电力行业转型的顶层设计,围绕煤电定位转变、新型储能、氢能及绿色燃料、新型电力系统等核心议题,对西安热工研究院有限公司董事长苏立新进行访谈。【方法】基于《规划》文本与能源电力行业技术发展现状,从“安全为本、转型为要”的总体定位出发,系统梳理煤电从电量主体向支撑调节性电源转型的技术路径,分析熔盐储能、超临界二氧化碳循环发电、氢氨醇掺烧、碳捕集利用与封存等关键技术方向的工程进展与应用前景。【结果】《规划》明确煤电在“十五五”期间严控新增装机,存量机组通过宽负荷灵活运行(20%额定负荷稳燃)、延寿评估、零碳低碳燃料掺烧(4 MW燃烧试验台实现40%掺氨比例)及碳捕集利用(15万吨/年示范工程)等改造手段,继续发挥电网安全韧性底线保障作用。熔盐储能可实现10 h以上储热,超临界二氧化碳循环发电效率较传统蒸汽循环提升3百分点~5百分点,50 MW燃煤超临界二氧化碳发电机组已入选国家首台(套)重大技术装备。绿氢规模化瓶颈在于电价需降至0.2元/(kW·h)以下,《规划》提出绿电直连制氢、输氢管网及国际认证体系等突破路径。【结论】“十五五”期间将形成非化石能源与煤电“此长彼长、协同进化”的新型能源生态,煤电以更清洁、更灵活的方式继续守护电网安全。科技创新需打通“研发—验证—示范—推广”全链条,推动“电-碳-氢-氨-醇”多能耦合,为能源系统深度脱碳提供系统性支撑。
[Objective] The 15th Five-Year Plan for New Energy System Construction
issued by the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration
sets the goal of preliminarily establishing a clean
low-carbon
safe
and efficient new energy system by 2030
with key indicators including raising the share of non-fossil energy consumption to 25%
increasing the share of non-fossil electricity generation to 50%
and reducing carbon emissions per unit of electricity generation by over 10%. To gain an in-depth understanding of the plan's top-level design for the transformation of the power and energy industry
this paper presents an interview with Su Lixin
Chairman of Xi'an Thermal Power Research Institute
focusing on the repositioning of coal-fired power
new energy storage
hydrogen and green fuels
and new power systems. [Methods] Based on the plan text and the current state of technological development in the power and energy industry
and following the overarching principle of “safety as the foundation
transition as the priority”
this paper systematically examines the technical pathways for coal-fired power transitioning from a primary electricity supplier to a supporting and regulating power source. It analyzes the engineering progress and application prospects of key technology directions including molten-salt energy storage
supercritical carbon dioxide cycle power generation
co-firing of hydrogen
ammonia
and methanol
and carbon capture
utilization
and storage. [Results] The plan specifies that during the 15 th Five-Year Plan period
new coal-fired power capacity additions will be strictly controlled
while existing units will be retrofitted through wide-load flexible operation(stable combustion at 20% rated load)
life extension assessment
co-firing of zero-carbon and low-carbon fuels(40% ammonia co-firing ratio achieved on a 4 MW combustion test rig)
and carbon capture and utilization(150 000 tons/year demonstration project)
thereby continuing to serve as the bottom-line guarantee for power grid security. Molten-salt energy storage can achieve heat storage for more than 10 hours. The efficiency of supercritical carbon dioxide cycle power generation is 3~5 percentage points higher than that of conventional steam cycles
and the 50 MW coal-fired supercritical carbon dioxide power generation unit has been selected as a national first-set major technical equipment. The bottleneck for scaling up green hydrogen lies in the electricity price
which needs to be reduced to below 0.2 yuan/(kW·h). The plan proposes pathways including direct green-power-to-hydrogen
hydrogen pipeline networks
and international certification systems to address this challenge. [Conclusion] During the 15th Five-Year Plan period
a new energy ecosystem will take shape in which non-fossil energy and coal-fired power co-evolve in a complementary manner
with coal-fired power continuing to safeguard grid security in a cleaner and more flexible way. Scientific and technological innovation should bridge the entire chain from RD
validation
demonstration
to deployment
and promote the multi-energy coupling of electricity
carbon
hydrogen
ammonia
and methanol
so as to provide systematic support for deep decarbonization of the energy system.
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