1. 国家能源集团科学技术研究院有限公司
2. 暨南大学能源电力研究中心
纸质出版:2026
移动端阅览
张西, 严润泽, 范国朝, 等. 基于机器视觉与神经语言模型融合驱动的空冷机组背压预测研究[J]. 热力发电, 2026,(9).
张西, 严润泽, 范国朝, et al. 基于机器视觉与神经语言模型融合驱动的空冷机组背压预测研究[J]. Thermal Power Generation, 2026, (9).
张西, 严润泽, 范国朝, 等. 基于机器视觉与神经语言模型融合驱动的空冷机组背压预测研究[J]. 热力发电, 2026,(9). DOI: 10.19666/j.rlfd.202512018.
张西, 严润泽, 范国朝, et al. 基于机器视觉与神经语言模型融合驱动的空冷机组背压预测研究[J]. Thermal Power Generation, 2026, (9). DOI: 10.19666/j.rlfd.202512018.
【目的】针对传统基于数据驱动的空冷机组背压预测通常侧重于过程参数使用,较少考虑翅片管温度场图像内隐藏的热力学特征信息的问题,提出一种基于机器视觉和语言模型混合深度学习机制的背压预测模型。【方法】基于翅片管红外图像和机组过程参数构成的多模态数据,融合卷积神经网络(CNN)、双向长短期记忆网络(BiLSTM)和注意力(Attention)机制。模型采用CNN提取翅片管束红外图像的空间热力特征,采用BiLSTM提取机组运行参数的时序特征,并通过Attention机制强化关键时间步信息,在特征层完成两类模态信息的融合。同时,为提高模型的鲁棒性和准确性,利用贝叶斯优化对神经网络的超参数进行调优,并通过特征筛选与归一化处理提升了多模态数据的质量。【结果】实验结果表明,与传统机器学习以及不含热成像的深度学习相比,所提出的BiLSTM+CNN+Attention模型在预测准确性和泛化能力方面表现出明显优势,大幅度提高了背压预测的准确性和实时性。【结论】研究成果为空冷机组冷端的模型预测控制与多目标运行优化,提供了有效的在线建模解决方案。
[Objective] Operational back pressure significantly impacts the coal consumption and generation efficiency of direct air-cooled units. Traditional data-driven prediction methods primarily rely on scalar time-series of historical process parameters
largely ignoring the spatial thermodynamic distribution information contained in infrared images of finned tube bundles. This omission limits the model's ability to capture complex spatial-temporal correlations under variable working conditions. This study aims to bridge this gap by developing a high-precision prediction model that effectively fuses machine vision data with process parameters. [Methods] A multimodal deep learning model integrating convolutional neural networks(CNN)
bidirectional long short-term memory(BiLSTM)
and an Attention mechanism is proposed. Data from a 660 MW unit
comprising numerical operation parameters and infrared thermal images
were utilized. To evaluate the model's adaptability to different temporal dynamics
datasets with four distinct time granularities(1 s
5 s
30 s
and 60 s) were constructed via data resampling. Data engineering techniques
including ANOVA and Spearman correlation analysis
screened input features to select critical variables like unit load and ambient temperature while removing redundancy. The model architecture processes these inputs: The CNN extracts spatial thermal features from infrared images
while the BiLSTM models temporal dependencies in the operating parameters. An attention mechanism emphasizes informative time steps
and the two modalities are subsequently fused for back-pressure prediction. Bayesian optimization is employed to tune hyperparameters for optimal performance. [Results] Extensive comparative experiments across 1 s
5 s
30 s
and 60 s granularities demonstrate that the proposed BiLSTM+CNN+Attention model consistently outperforms traditional machine learning(e.g.
SVR
GBM) and deep learning models(RNN
GRU
standard BiLSTM). Ablation studies on the 1 s dataset show that the introduction of the Attention mechanism reduces the Mean Absolute Percentage Error(MAPE) from 1.528 8%(standard BiLSTM) to 0.824 0%
and integrating CNN further reduces the MAPE to 0.500 4%. Specifically
the model achieves a Mean Absolute Error(MAE) of 0.055 2 kPa and a root mean square error(RMSE) of 0.076 0 kPa on the 1 s dataset. Crucially
despite the increased cumulative uncertainty at larger time scales
the model maintains a low MAPE of approximately 2.604 9% on the 60 s dataset. This indicates that the model is robust and can effectively capture both high-frequency transient fluctuations and low-frequency thermodynamic trends. [Conclusion] The fusion of infrared thermal imaging and process data effectively captures both the spatial thermodynamic state and temporal evolution of the air-cooled system. The proposed model exhibits superior generalization ability and robustness across multiple time scales. This research provides a reliable online modeling solution for the model predictive control(MPC) and multi-objective operational optimization of aircooled units
contributing to the intelligent and economic operation of thermal power plants.
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