ZHAO Guannan, LI Zhenghao. Influence of multi-source uncertainties on optimized scheduling of thermal power plant[J]. Thermal power generation, 2020, 49(12): 114-119.
ZHAO Guannan, LI Zhenghao. Influence of multi-source uncertainties on optimized scheduling of thermal power plant[J]. Thermal power generation, 2020, 49(12): 114-119. DOI: 10.19666/j.rlfd.202003111.
Uncertainties exist in load dispatch with unit commitment and affect the unit load dispatch. By comprehensively considering the load forecast uncertainty
unit coal consumption rate uncertainty and CO_2 emission coefficient uncertainty
this paper establishes optimal load distribution model for the thermal power plant taking the minimum primary energy consumption costs and the least emission of CO_2 as objects. On this basis
the coupled factor analysis and variance decomposition method is employed to disclose the influence of multiple uncertainties on primary energy consumption and CO_2 emission. Case analysis results show that
load forecast uncertainty exhibits the most influence on aforementioned two optimization objectives
which accounts for 51.13% and 62.70%
respectively. The coal consumption rate uncertainty and CO_2 emission coefficient uncertainty lie second
which accounts for 47.58% and 34.95%
respectively. The proposed framework in this study is a positive explore for load dispatch under uncertainty.