LI Xiang. FAILURE PROBABILITY ANALYSIS ON THERMAL POWER-GENERATING UNITS[J]. Thermal power generation, 2001, (5): 20-21. DOI: 10.19666/j.rlfd.2001.05.007.
火电机组事故概率分析
摘要
从概率论的角度对火电机组设备事故概率作了初步探讨
认为火电机组事故概率分配一般应按泊松公式分布
并在设定条件下推出设备概率系数
得出机组的事故概率分配。最后对一台国产30 0MW机组的事故作了概率分布
Abstract
From the viewpoint of probability theory
a preliminary approach of equipment failure probability on thermal power-generating units has been made. It is considered that the failure probability of said units is generally distributed in accordance with poisson formulae. Then
the equipment probability coefficient is deduced under given conditions
and the distribution of failure probability of said units is obtained. At last
the probability distribution of failures
which may occur on a homemade 300MW unit is given.