Comprehensive Analysis and Discussion on Transition Paths of China's Power System Towards Carbon Neutrality—Part II: System Simulation and Economic Analysis
Special Issue Commemorating the 10<sup>th</sup> Anniversary of CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems|更新时间:2026-10-16
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Comprehensive Analysis and Discussion on Transition Paths of China's Power System Towards Carbon Neutrality—Part II: System Simulation and Economic Analysis
Comprehensive Analysis and Discussion on Transition Paths of China's Power System Towards Carbon Neutrality—Part II: System Simulation and Economic Analysis
中国电机工程学会电力与能源系统学报(英文)2025年11卷第6期 页码:2821-2831
作者机构:
China Electric Power Research Institute,Beijing,China
Honghua Yang, Ziwei Chen, Jiameng Gao, 等. Comprehensive Analysis and Discussion on Transition Paths of China's Power System Towards Carbon Neutrality—Part II: System Simulation and Economic Analysis[J]. 中国电机工程学会电力与能源系统学报(英文), 2025,11(6):2821-2831.
Honghua Yang, Ziwei Chen, Jiameng Gao, et al. Comprehensive Analysis and Discussion on Transition Paths of China's Power System Towards Carbon Neutrality—Part II: System Simulation and Economic Analysis[J]. CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, 2025, 11(6): 2821-2831.
Honghua Yang, Ziwei Chen, Jiameng Gao, 等. Comprehensive Analysis and Discussion on Transition Paths of China's Power System Towards Carbon Neutrality—Part II: System Simulation and Economic Analysis[J]. 中国电机工程学会电力与能源系统学报(英文), 2025,11(6):2821-2831.DOI: 10.17775/CSEEJPES.2025.05020.
Honghua Yang, Ziwei Chen, Jiameng Gao, et al. Comprehensive Analysis and Discussion on Transition Paths of China's Power System Towards Carbon Neutrality—Part II: System Simulation and Economic Analysis[J]. CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, 2025, 11(6): 2821-2831.DOI: 10.17775/CSEEJPES.2025.05020.
Comprehensive Analysis and Discussion on Transition Paths of China's Power System Towards Carbon Neutrality—Part II: System Simulation and Economic Analysis
摘要
Abstract
To effectively facilitate the low-carbon transition of energy and power systems
it is imperative to not only design transition paths at the macro level
but also conduct system feasibility analysis at the operation level. This study proposes a comprehensive analytical methodology for evaluating the low-carbon transition pathways of the power system. Based on the model built and paths designed in Part I of the paper
Part II extends the analysis by conducting a production simulation of the power system under various predefined scenarios
thereby validating the electric power and energy balance. The flexibility and resilience of the power system operation are evaluated under both normal and extreme weather conditions. Furthermore
the economic viability of different transition paths is compared
and the impacts of multiple factors on the annualized cost of each path are examined through sensitivity analysis. Together with Part I
this paper achieves the soft-linking of bottom-up power system operation simulation and economic analysis to top-down development scenario design
providing support for the rationality and feasibility verification of macro transition paths of China's power system towards carbon neutrality by 2060.
关键词
Keywords
references
1. Xinhua News Agency. ( 2020, Sep. ). Xi Jinping delivered an important speech at the general debate of the 75th session of the United Nations General Assembly [Online ] . Available: https://www.gov.cn/xinwen/2020-09/22/content_5546168.htm
5. Stockholm Environment Institute. ( 2025, Feb. ). LEAP: introduction [Online ] . Available: https://leap.sei.org/default.asp?action=introduction
6. International Institute for Applied System Analysis. ( 2025, Feb. ). The MESSAGEix framework [Online ] . Available: https://docs.messageix.org/en/latest/
27. State Council of the People's Republic of China. ( 2021, Mar. ). The 14th five-year plan for national economic and social development and the long-range objectives through the year 2035 [Online ] . Available: https://www.gov.cn/xinwen/2021-03/13/content_5592681.htm
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相关作者
Yinbiao Shu
Yong Tang
Zhengling Zhang
Fengying Zhang
Wuzhi Zhong
Haobo Shi
Lin Yang
Ming Kong
相关机构
State Grid Corporation of China
Beijing Huairou Laboratory
College of Information Science and Engineering, University of Northeastern
Department of Electrical Engineering, State Key Laboratory of Power System Operation and Control, Tsinghua University
Department of Electrical Engineering, Tsinghua University