Tiechui Yao, Jue Wang, Yangang Wang, 等. Very Short-Term Forecasting of Distributed PV Power Using GSTANN[J]. 中国电机工程学会电力与能源系统学报(英文), 2024,10(4):1491-1501.
Tiechui Yao, Jue Wang, Yangang Wang, et al. Very Short-Term Forecasting of Distributed PV Power Using GSTANN[J]. CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, 2024, 10(4): 1491-1501.
Tiechui Yao, Jue Wang, Yangang Wang, 等. Very Short-Term Forecasting of Distributed PV Power Using GSTANN[J]. 中国电机工程学会电力与能源系统学报(英文), 2024,10(4):1491-1501.DOI: 10.17775/CSEEJPES.2022.00110.
Tiechui Yao, Jue Wang, Yangang Wang, et al. Very Short-Term Forecasting of Distributed PV Power Using GSTANN[J]. CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, 2024, 10(4): 1491-1501.DOI: 10.17775/CSEEJPES.2022.00110.
Very Short-Term Forecasting of Distributed PV Power Using GSTANN
Photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting is essential for secure operation of a power system. Effective prediction of PV power can improve new energy consumption capacity
help power system planning
promote development of smart grids
and ultimately support construction of smart energy cities. However
different from centralized PV power forecasts
three critical challenges are encountered in distributed PV power forecasting: 1) lack of on-site meteorological observation
2) leveraging extraneous data to enhance forecasting performance
3) spatial-temporal modelling methods of meteorological information around the distributed PV stations. To address these issues
we propose a Graph Spatial-Temporal Attention Neural Network (GSTANN) to predict the very short-term power of distributed PV. First
we use satellite remote sensing data covering a specific geographical area to supplement meteorological information for all PV stations. Then
we apply the graph convolution block to model the non-Euclidean local and global spatial dependence and design an attention mechanism to simultaneously derive temporal and spatial correlations. Subsequently
we propose a data fusion module to solve the time misalignment between satellite remote sensing data and surrounding measured on-site data and design a power approximation block to map the conversion from solar irradiance to PV power. Experiments conducted with real-world case study datasets demonstrate that the prediction performance of GSTANN outperforms five state-of-the-art baselines.