Hybrid SDS and WPT-IBBO-DNM Based Model for Ultra-short Term Photovoltaic Prediction
Regular Papers|更新时间:2026-10-15
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Hybrid SDS and WPT-IBBO-DNM Based Model for Ultra-short Term Photovoltaic Prediction
Hybrid SDS and WPT-IBBO-DNM Based Model for Ultra-short Term Photovoltaic Prediction
中国电机工程学会电力与能源系统学报(英文)2023年9卷第1期 页码:66-76
作者机构:
1. School of Electrical Engineering, Guangxi University,Nanning,China
2. University of Southampton Malaysia, Iskandar Puteri,Malaysia
3. College of the Environment and Ecology, Xiamen University,Fujian,China
4. Department of Technology Management, Faculty of Construction Management and Business, University Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia, Parit Raja,Johor,Malaysia
Hui Hwang Goh, Qinwen Luo, Dongdong Zhang, 等. Hybrid SDS and WPT-IBBO-DNM Based Model for Ultra-short Term Photovoltaic Prediction[J]. 中国电机工程学会电力与能源系统学报(英文), 2023,9(1):66-76.
Hui Hwang Goh, Qinwen Luo, Dongdong Zhang, et al. Hybrid SDS and WPT-IBBO-DNM Based Model for Ultra-short Term Photovoltaic Prediction[J]. CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, 2023, 9(1): 66-76.
Hui Hwang Goh, Qinwen Luo, Dongdong Zhang, 等. Hybrid SDS and WPT-IBBO-DNM Based Model for Ultra-short Term Photovoltaic Prediction[J]. 中国电机工程学会电力与能源系统学报(英文), 2023,9(1):66-76.DOI: 10.17775/CSEEJPES.2021.04560.
Hui Hwang Goh, Qinwen Luo, Dongdong Zhang, et al. Hybrid SDS and WPT-IBBO-DNM Based Model for Ultra-short Term Photovoltaic Prediction[J]. CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, 2023, 9(1): 66-76.DOI: 10.17775/CSEEJPES.2021.04560.
Hybrid SDS and WPT-IBBO-DNM Based Model for Ultra-short Term Photovoltaic Prediction
Accurate photovoltaic (PV) power prediction has been a subject of ongoing study in order to address grid stability concerns caused by PV output unpredictability and intermittency. This paper proposes an ultra-short-term hybrid photovoltaic power forecasting method based on a dendritic neural model (DNM) in this paper. This model is trained using improved biogeography-based optimization (IBBO)
a technique that incorporates a domestication operation to increase the performance of classical biogeography-based optimization (BBO). To be more precise
a similar day selection (SDS) technique is presented for selecting the training set
and wavelet packet transform (WPT) is used to divide the input data into many components. IBBO is then used to train DNM weights and thresholds for each component prediction. Finally
each component's prediction results are stacked and reassembled. The suggested hybrid model is used to forecast PV power under various weather conditions using data from the Desert Knowledge Australia Solar Centre (DKASC) in Alice Springs. Simulation results indicate the proposed hybrid SDS and WPT-IBBO-DNM model has the lowest error of any of the benchmark models and hence has the potential to considerably enhance the accuracy of solar power forecasting (PVPF).