Adaptive Early Warning Method of Cascading Failures Caused by Coordinated Cyber-Attacks

Yufei Wang; June Li; Jian Qiu; Yangrong Chen

doi:10.17775/CSEEJPES.2021.04350

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Adaptive Early Warning Method of Cascading Failures Caused by Coordinated Cyber-Attacks

Regular Papers | 更新时间：2026-10-15

- Adaptive Early Warning Method of Cascading Failures Caused by Coordinated Cyber-Attacks
- Adaptive Early Warning Method of Cascading Failures Caused by Coordinated Cyber-Attacks
- 中国电机工程学会电力与能源系统学报(英文) 2025年11卷第1期页码：406-423
- 作者机构：
  
  1. Key Laboratory of Aerospace Information Security and Trusted Computing, Ministry of Education, School of Cyber Science and Engineering, Wuhan University,Hubei,Wuhan,China
  2. China Electric Power Research Institute,Beijing,China
  3. Electric Power Planning & Engineering Institute,Beijing,China,100120
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.17775/CSEEJPES.2021.04350
  中图分类号：
- 纸质出版：2025-01-01
- 稿件说明：
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Yufei Wang, June Li, Jian Qiu, 等. Adaptive Early Warning Method of Cascading Failures Caused by Coordinated Cyber-Attacks[J]. 中国电机工程学会电力与能源系统学报(英文), 2025,11(1):406-423.

Yufei Wang, June Li, Jian Qiu, et al. Adaptive Early Warning Method of Cascading Failures Caused by Coordinated Cyber-Attacks[J]. CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, 2025, 11(1): 406-423.
Yufei Wang, June Li, Jian Qiu, 等. Adaptive Early Warning Method of Cascading Failures Caused by Coordinated Cyber-Attacks[J]. 中国电机工程学会电力与能源系统学报(英文), 2025,11(1):406-423. DOI： 10.17775/CSEEJPES.2021.04350.

Yufei Wang, June Li, Jian Qiu, et al. Adaptive Early Warning Method of Cascading Failures Caused by Coordinated Cyber-Attacks[J]. CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, 2025, 11(1): 406-423. DOI： 10.17775/CSEEJPES.2021.04350.

摘要

Abstract

In order to accurately receive early warning of the cascading failures caused by coordinated cyber-attacks (CFCC) in grid cyber-physical systems (GCPS)

an adaptive early warning method of CFCC is proposed. First

the evolutionary mechanism of CFCC is analyzed from the attackers' view

the CFCC mathematical model is established

and the transition processes of GCPS running states under the influence of CFCC staged failures are discussed. Then

the mathematical model of the adaptive early warning method is established. Further

the mathematical model of the adaptive early warning method is mapped as an adaptive control process with tolerating staged failures damage

and the solving process is presented to infer the CFCC and its next evolution trend. A decision-making idea for the optimal active defense scheme is proposed considering the costs and gains of various defense measures. Finally

to verify the effectiveness of the adaptive early warning method

the warning and defense processes of a typical CFCC are simulated in a GCPS experimental system based on CEPRI-36 BUS.

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