Bo Yang, Tianjiao Zhu, Pulin Cao, 等. Classification and Summarization of Solar Irradiance and Power Forecasting Methods: A Thorough Review[J]. 中国电机工程学会电力与能源系统学报(英文), 2023,9(3):978-995.
Bo Yang, Tianjiao Zhu, Pulin Cao, et al. Classification and Summarization of Solar Irradiance and Power Forecasting Methods: A Thorough Review[J]. CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, 2023, 9(3): 978-995.
Bo Yang, Tianjiao Zhu, Pulin Cao, 等. Classification and Summarization of Solar Irradiance and Power Forecasting Methods: A Thorough Review[J]. 中国电机工程学会电力与能源系统学报(英文), 2023,9(3):978-995.DOI: 10.17775/CSEEJPES.2020.04930.
Bo Yang, Tianjiao Zhu, Pulin Cao, et al. Classification and Summarization of Solar Irradiance and Power Forecasting Methods: A Thorough Review[J]. CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, 2023, 9(3): 978-995.DOI: 10.17775/CSEEJPES.2020.04930.
Classification and Summarization of Solar Irradiance and Power Forecasting Methods: A Thorough Review
Solar forecasting is of great importance for ensuring safe and stable operations of the power system with increased solar power integration
thus numerous models have been presented and reviewed to predict solar irradiance and power forecasting in the past decade. Nevertheless
few studies take into account the temporal and spatial resolutions along with specific characteristics of the models. Therefore
this paper aims to demonstrate a comprehensive and systematic review to further solve these problems. First
five classifications and seven pre-processing methods of solar forecasting data are systematically reviewed
which are significant in improving forecasting accuracy. Then
various methods utilized in solar irradiance and power forecasting are thoroughly summarized and discussed
in which 128 algorithms are elaborated in tables in the light of input variables
temporal resolution
spatial resolution
forecast variables
metrics
and characteristics for a more fair and comprehensive comparison. Moreover
they are categorized into four groups
namely
statistical
physical
hybrid
and others with relevant application conditions and features. Meanwhile
six categories
along with 30 evaluation criteria
are summarized to clarify the major purposes/applicability of the different methods. The prominent merit of this study is that a total of seven perspectives and trends for further research in solar forecasting are identified
which aim to help readers more effectively utilize these approaches for future in-depth research.