Tianyu Hu, Wenchuan Wu, Qinglai Guo, 等. Very short-term spatial and temporal wind power forecasting: A deep learning approach[J]. 中国电机工程学会电力与能源系统学报(英文), 2020,6(2):434-443.
Tianyu Hu, Wenchuan Wu, Qinglai Guo, et al. Very short-term spatial and temporal wind power forecasting: A deep learning approach[J]. CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, 2020, 6(2): 434-443.
Tianyu Hu, Wenchuan Wu, Qinglai Guo, 等. Very short-term spatial and temporal wind power forecasting: A deep learning approach[J]. 中国电机工程学会电力与能源系统学报(英文), 2020,6(2):434-443. DOI: 10.17775/CSEEJPES.2018.00010.
Tianyu Hu, Wenchuan Wu, Qinglai Guo, et al. Very short-term spatial and temporal wind power forecasting: A deep learning approach[J]. CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, 2020, 6(2): 434-443. DOI: 10.17775/CSEEJPES.2018.00010.
Very short-term spatial and temporal wind power forecasting: A deep learning approach
In power systems that experience high penetration of wind power generation
very short-term wind power forecast is an important prerequisite for look-ahead power dispatch. Conventional univariate wind power forecasting methods at presentonly utilize individual wind farm historical data. However
studies have shown that forecasting accuracy canbe improved by exploring both spatial and temporal correlations among adjacent wind farms. Current research on spatial-temporal wind power forecasting is based on relatively shallow time series models that
to date
have demonstrated unsatisfactory performance. In this paper
a convolution operation is used to capture the spatial and temporal correlations among multiple wind farms. A novel convolution-based spatial-temporal wind power predictor (CSTWPP) is developed. Due to CSTWPP's high nonlinearity and deep architecture
wind power variation features and regularities included in the historical data can be more effectively extracted. Furthermore
the online training of CSTWPP enables incremental learning
which makes CSTWPP non-stationary and in conformity with real scenarios. Graphics processing units (GPU) is used to speed up the training process
validating the developed CSTWPP for real-time application. Case studies on 28 adjacent wind farms are conducted to show that the proposed model can achieve superior performance on 5-30 minutes ahead wind power forecasts.