Jinghua Li, Liu Ye, Yan Zeng, 等. A scenario-based robust transmission network expansion planning method for consideration of wind power uncertainties[J]. 中国电机工程学会电力与能源系统学报(英文), 2016,2(1):11-18.
Jinghua Li, Liu Ye, Yan Zeng, et al. A scenario-based robust transmission network expansion planning method for consideration of wind power uncertainties[J]. CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, 2016, 2(1): 11-18.
Jinghua Li, Liu Ye, Yan Zeng, 等. A scenario-based robust transmission network expansion planning method for consideration of wind power uncertainties[J]. 中国电机工程学会电力与能源系统学报(英文), 2016,2(1):11-18. DOI: 10.17775/CSEEJPES.2016.00004.
Jinghua Li, Liu Ye, Yan Zeng, et al. A scenario-based robust transmission network expansion planning method for consideration of wind power uncertainties[J]. CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, 2016, 2(1): 11-18. DOI: 10.17775/CSEEJPES.2016.00004.
A scenario-based robust transmission network expansion planning method for consideration of wind power uncertainties
摘要
Abstract
This paper uses a novel scenario generation method for tackling the uncertainties of wind power in the transmission network expansion planning (TNEP) problem. A heuristic moment matching (HMM) method is first applied to generate the typical scenarios for capturing the stochastic features of wind power
including expectation
standard deviation
skewness
kurtosis
and correlation of multiple wind farms. Then
based on the typical scenarios
a robust TNEP problem is presented and formulated. The solution of the problem is robust against all the scenarios that represent the stochastic features of wind power. Three test systems are used to verify the HMM method and is compared against Taguchi's Orthogonal Array (OA) method. The simulation results show that the HMM method has better performance than the OA method in terms of the trade-off between robustness and economy. Additionally
the main factors influencing the planning scheme are studied
including the number of scenarios
wind farm capacity
and penalty factors
which provide a reference for system operators choosing parameters.