碳电市场耦合机制研究综述：模型分类、联动路径与挑战展望

戴思婷; 邓文扬; 张立锋; 肖东亮

doi:10.16516/j.ceec.2025-232

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碳电市场耦合机制研究综述：模型分类、联动路径与挑战展望

能源经济与市场机制 | 更新时间：2026-10-14

- 碳电市场耦合机制研究综述：模型分类、联动路径与挑战展望
- A Comprehensive Review of Coupling Mechanisms Between Carbon and Electricity Markets: Modeling Approaches, Interaction Pathways, and Research Challenge Prospects
- 南方能源建设 2026年13卷第4期页码：178-192
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 广州城市理工学院国际商学院,广东,广州,510800
  2. 广东工业大学自动化学院,广东,广州,510006
- 作者简介：
  
  戴思婷，1993-，女，讲师，博士，主要从事高比例新能源渗透电力市场中长期交易策略研究（e-mail）daist@gcut.edu.cn
  邓文扬，（email）dengwy@gdut.edu.cn
- 基金信息：
  
  国家自然科学基金青年项目“电力市场虚拟投标机制的风险分析与随机优化设计研究”（52207104）;广东省基础与应用基础研究基金（2023A1515011041）
- DOI：10.16516/j.ceec.2025-232
  中图分类号： TM732;F426.61
- 纸质出版：2026
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
戴思婷, 邓文扬, 张立锋, 等. 碳电市场耦合机制研究综述：模型分类、联动路径与挑战展望[J]. 南方能源建设, 2026, 13(4): 178-192.

.
戴思婷, 邓文扬, 张立锋, 等. 碳电市场耦合机制研究综述：模型分类、联动路径与挑战展望[J]. 南方能源建设, 2026, 13(4): 178-192. DOI： 10.16516/j.ceec.2025-232.

. DOI： 10.16516/j.ceec.2025-232.

摘要

目的

在“双碳”目标持续推进与电力市场深度改革的背景下，碳排放权交易机制与电力市场之间的联动性已成为实现低碳能源系统建设的核心议题。由于碳电市场在运行节奏、边界结构与价格形成逻辑上的差异，碳价信号在电力市场中的传导路径尚不清晰，亟须开展系统研究以推动耦合机制建模与政策协同。

方法

以碳电市场协同为研究对象，从政策制度、调度机制、出清模型与信号反馈等维度出发，系统地梳理了碳电市场耦合的基本原理与研究框架，归纳出典型的建模思路，包括调度机制嵌套建模、边际成本函数构建、碳价驱动的优化策略与信号响应机制等内容。进一步评述了多目标优化、动态博弈机制与人工智能辅助建模等方法的适用性与演进趋势。

结果

研究显示，现有碳电耦合建模方法虽已在算法框架与系统表达上取得进展，但在建模边界一致性、时序适配、市场协调机制与碳金融联动等方面仍存在显著挑战。不同模型在应对碳价不确定性、响应市场动态行为、支撑区域协同调度等方面的能力差异明显，尚缺乏统一的系统性分析与适应性评价。

结论

未来可从一体化出清机制、多能系统协同建模、碳-电-金融联动机制与AI驱动的碳价预测与调控策略等方面拓展研究路径，推动构建高效、可控、透明的碳电协同机制体系，为实现绿色低碳转型提供理论支撑与实践工具。

Abstract

Objective

Against the backdrop of the advancement of "dual-carbon" goals and deepening electricity market reforms

the interaction between carbon emission trading mechanisms and electricity markets has become a core issue for building a low-carbon energy system. However

due to differences in operating rhythms

boundary structu

res

and price-formation logics

the transmission pathways of carbon price signals in electricity markets remain unclear. Systematic research is urgently needed to advance the modeling of coupling mechanisms and policy coordination.

Method

Focusing on the coordination of carbon and electricity markets

the fundamental principles and analytical framework of carbon-electricity market coupling were systematically reviewed from the dimensions of policy institutions

dispatch mechanisms

market-clearing models

and feedback signals. Typical modeling approaches

including nested dispatch mechanism modeling

marginal cost function construction

carbon-price-driven optimization strategies

and signal-response mechanisms

were also summarized. Furthermore

the applicability and evolutionary trends of methods such as multi-objective optimization

dynamic game mechanisms

and AI-assisted modeling were critically assessed.

Result

The findings indicate that while existing carbon-electricity market coupling modeling methods have made progress in algorithmic frameworks and system representation

significant challenges remain in modeling boundary consistency

temporal adaptability

market coordination mechanisms

and carbon-finance linkages. Different models exhibit varying capacities in addressing carbon price uncertainty

responding to dynamic market behaviors

and supporting regional coordinated dispatch

but a unified systematic analysis and adaptability evaluation framework is still lacking.

Conclusion

Future research can be expanded in aspects including integrated market-clearing mechanisms

collaborative modeling of multi-energy systems

carbon-electricity-finance linkage mechanisms

and AI-driven carbon price forecasting and regulation strategies. These efforts will help establish an efficient

controllable

and transparent carbon-electricity coordination mechanism system

providing both theoretical support and practical tools for the green and low-carbon transition.

关键词

Keywords

references

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