1. 中国气象局旱区特色农业气象灾害监测预警与风险管理重点实验室,宁夏,银川,750002
2. 宁夏气象服务中心,宁夏,银川,750002
3. 国华(宁夏)新能源有限公司,宁夏,银川,750002
4. 浙江省气象服务中心,浙江,杭州,310057
袁瑞瑞,BRID: 00182.00.37983ORCID: 0009-0006-2307-89291996-,女,工程师,硕士,主要从事专业气象服务工作(e-mail)yuanrr_818@163.com
刘建宏,(e-mail)ljh826123@icloud.com
纸质出版:2026
移动端阅览
袁瑞瑞, 张逸飞, 刘建宏, 等. 风电场风功率异常数据清洗与质控技术对比分析[J]. 南方能源建设, 2026, 13(3): 119-128.
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袁瑞瑞, 张逸飞, 刘建宏, 等. 风电场风功率异常数据清洗与质控技术对比分析[J]. 南方能源建设, 2026, 13(3): 119-128. DOI: 10.16516/j.ceec.2025-056.
. DOI: 10.16516/j.ceec.2025-056.
目的
风电场风速功率数据中通常包含大量异常数据,有效的数据清洗可以提高数据质量,使新能源功率预测、发电量预测等结果更加精确。
方法
收集宁夏典型风电场风速及功率数据,绘制风速-功率散点分布图,探讨数据分布特征和异常数据产生原因;对比DBSCAN算法和方差变化率判据对异常数据的识别清洗效果,并分别与四分位法结合,构建“DBSCAN-四分位”“方差变化率-四分位”组合模型,同时将 DBSCAN 算法与方差变化率判据相互组合,构建“DBSCAN-方差变化率”“方差变化率-DBSCAN”组合模型,开展组合模型的清洗质控研究,并与单一模型对比。
结果
研究表明:(1)风电场风速-功率散点图中异常数据点可大致分为底部堆积型数据、中部堆积型数据和其他离散型数据3类;(2)DBSCAN算法或方差变化率判据的单一模型能够有效识别清洗大部分异常数据,但仍有局部区域离散点未能被识别;(3)组合模型相比单一模型,能够进一步识别少部分离群特征不明显的异常数据,其中,DBSCAN-四分位的组合模型,清洗后风速与功率相关系数最高,相对于建模曲线的均方根误差最低,清洗效果最佳。
结论
通过对比单一模型、组合模型对风电场运行异常数据的清洗效果,证明了组合模型对于提高风电场数据质量的可靠性,研究结果为能源需求预测、风电消纳水平评估、风电场运行管理等提供重要参考。
Objective
Wind speed and power data from wind farms often contain a large amount of abnormal data. Effective data cleaning can improve data quality and make results such as renewable energy power forecasting and power generation forecasting more accurate.
Method
This study collected wind speed and power data from typical wind farms in
Ningxia
plotted a scatter distribution diagram of wind speed versus power to investigate the data distribution characteristics and the reasons for abnormal data generation.We compared the effectiveness of the DBSCAN algorithm and the variance change rate criterion in identifying and cleaning abnormal data. Furthermore
we combined these methods with the quartile method approach to construct "DBSCAN-quartile method" and "variance change rate-quartile method" composite models. Additionally
we integrated the DBSCAN algorithm with the variance change rate criterion to develop "DBSCAN-variance change rate" and "variance change rate-DBSCAN" composite models. The data cleaning using these composite models was studied and compared with that of the single models.
Result
The study shows that: (1) Abnormal data points in the wind speed-power scatter plot of wind farms can be roughly classified into three categories: bottom clustered data
middle clustered data and other dispersed data. (2) Single models using either the DBSCAN algorithm or the variance change rate criterion effectively identify and clean most of the abnormal data
but some local dispersed points still remain undetected. (3) Compared with single models
composite models can further identify a small number of abnormal data with less obvious outlier characteristics. Among them
the "DBSCAN-quartile method" composite model has the highest correlation coefficient between wind speed and power after cleaning
and the lowest root mean square error relative to the modeling curve
showing the best cleaning effect.
Conclusion
By comparing the data cleaning effects of single models and composite models on the operational abnormal data of wind farms
the study demonstrates the reliability of composite models in improving the data quality of wind farms. The research results provide important references for energy demand forecasting
wind power accommodation level assessment and wind farm operation management.
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