LONG Xiao, SUN Rui, ZHENG Tong. Convolutional neural network-based liquefaction prediction model and interpretability analysis[J]. 2024, 45(9): 2741-2753.
LONG Xiao, SUN Rui, ZHENG Tong. Convolutional neural network-based liquefaction prediction model and interpretability analysis[J]. 2024, 45(9): 2741-2753.DOI: 10.16285/j.rsm.2023.1596.
Conventional methods for liquefaction discrimination are often semi-empirical
prone to human factors
with low success rates and balance. Moreover
current machine learning approaches lack ample sample support and have specific limitations. Through the integration of liquefaction datasets
11 features were chosen: corrected standard penetration test blow count
fine content
soil layer depth
groundwater table depth
total overburden stress
effective overburden stress
threshold acceleration
cyclic shear stress ratio
shear wave velocity
earthquake magnitude
and peak ground acceleration. A convolutional neural network (CNN) model was established. The Borderline SMOTE technique was introduced to address the issue of imbalanced datasets. The CNN model was compared against random forest
logistic regression
support vector machine
extreme gradient boosting models
and methods specified in Chinese codes. Furthermore
the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) algorithm was utilized to examine the influence trends of input features on the prediction outcomes. The results demonstrated that the CNN model attained an accuracy of 92.58%
outperforming all metrics of the four machine learning models and the method specified in Chinese codes. Examination of the SHAP results unveiled that soil layers with corrected standard penetration blow numbers below 15 exhibited a higher liquefaction probability
whereas layers with cyclic stress ratios under 0.25 were less prone to liquefaction. The influence patterns of each factor align with current understanding
indicating the prediction model’s credibility and reliability.