1. 江西省气候中心
2. 江西省生态气象中心
纸质出版:2022
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许彬, 罗少华, 占明锦, 等. 2022年江西异常高温特征分析及适应性对策[J]. 能源研究与管理, 2022,(4):42-47.
许彬, 罗少华, 占明锦, et al. Characteristic Analysis of Abnormal High Temperature in 2022 and Adaptive Strategies Research in Jiangxi Province[J]. 2022, (4): 42-47.
许彬, 罗少华, 占明锦, 等. 2022年江西异常高温特征分析及适应性对策[J]. 能源研究与管理, 2022,(4):42-47. DOI: 10.16056/j.2096-7705.2022.04.008.
许彬, 罗少华, 占明锦, et al. Characteristic Analysis of Abnormal High Temperature in 2022 and Adaptive Strategies Research in Jiangxi Province[J]. 2022, (4): 42-47. DOI: 10.16056/j.2096-7705.2022.04.008.
全球变暖导致极端高温事件频繁发生,给人类社会带来了巨大的影响。为研究气候变化背景下江西省高温的变化情况,基于1961—2022年江西省91个气象站气温数据,分析了2022年江西高温的时空分布特征、极端性及盛夏高温的气候变化特征。结果显示,2022年高温的持续日数、覆盖范围以及综合强度等多项强度指标突破历史极值;盛夏江西平均气温、最高气温和最低气温均呈升高的变化趋势,增长率分别为0.08℃/10 a、0.04℃/10 a和0.17℃/10 a,表明高温热浪事件的发生频率在增加,气温日较差在缩小,暖夜出现的概率在增大,从而导致“白+黑”的复合型高温天气增多,对供电需求不断加大,对人体健康也产生严重威胁。建议牢固树立“高温就是灾害”的认识,加强高温天气发生规律、气候变化和气象灾害发生机制等基础研究,重视高温预警信号的应急联动响应;完善高温灾害能源应急保障机制,加强与周边相关省市的能源保障衔接,构建稳定安全的能源保障体系;在城市规划、建设、运行中充分考虑气象风险和气候承载力,完善城市建筑、绿地、道路及其它公共空间的统筹规划,打通城市通风廊道,增加城市的空气流动性,减轻城市“热岛效应”。
Under the background of global warming
the high temperature events occur frequently
which has brought great impact to human society. In order to study the change of high temperature events in Jiangxi province
based on the daily maximum temperature data from 91 weather stations in Jiangxi province from 1961 to 2022
the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics
the climate change characteristics and the extremities of the high temperature in 2022 in Jiangxi province were analyzed. The results showed thatthe duration
coverage and comprehensive strength of high temperature had broken through the historical extreme value in 2022. In midsummer(the July and August)
the average temperature
maximum temperature and minimum temperature in Jiangxi all showed an increasing trend
with growth rates of 0.08 ℃/10 years
0.04 ℃/10 years and 0.17 ℃/10 years respectively. This change trend reflected that the frequency of high temperature heat wave events was increasing. At the same time
it would lead to the further reduction of the daily temperature range.The probability of warm nights further increases
leading to the increase of "white+black" composite high temperature events. The demand for power supply would continue to increase. And it also poses a serious threat to human health. Therefore
we must take more effective measures to tackle climate change. Firstly
it is suggested to strengthen the mechanism research and early warning linkage response of the high temperature events. We should firmly establish the understanding that "high temperature events is a disaster". We should strengthen basic research on the characteristics of high temperature weather
climate change and the mechanism of meteorological disasters. Secondly
we should improve the energy emergency security mechanism for high temperature events. Strengthening the energy security connection with surrounding provinces and cities will help to build a stable and safe energy security system. Thirdly
meteorological disaster risks and climate carrying capacity should be fully considered in urban planning
construction and operation. Improve the overall planning of urban buildings
green spaces
roads and other public spaces
open up urban ventilation corridors
increase urban air mobility
and alleviate urban "heat-island effect" and other problems.
2022年夏季我国高温干旱特征及其环流形势分析[J]. 林纾;李红英;黄鹏程;段欣妤.干旱气象,2022(05)
贵州省2019年8月极端高温成因分析[J]. 刘红双;幸筱炯;杨熠;武正敏;田端.中低纬山地气象,2022(03)
气象因子与电力负荷的时空关联特性研究[J]. 董家富;薛一波.电力信息与通信技术,2022(06)
宜昌市电力负荷对气象因子的响应及气象预报模型的建立[J]. 杜裕;张明;何卫平;雷东洋;丁丽丽.中低纬山地气象,2022(01)
2017年盛夏7—8月浙江省高温热浪特征及环流背景分析[J]. 马浩;刘昌杰;钱奇峰;葛敬文;强玉华;殷悦.自然灾害学报,2021(05)
南京市电力负荷特征及夏季极端负荷与气象条件关系[J]. 李艳;俞剑蔚;蔡芗宁;范晓青;黄琰.气象科技,2021(04)
鄱阳湖流域降水时空变化特征[J]. 王怀清;戴志健;占明锦;夏玲君;孔萍.能源研究与管理,2021(01)
江西实现碳达峰与碳中和的思考[J]. 席细平;范敏;谢运生;熊继海;杨蕾;孙李媛;晏恒.能源研究与管理,2021(01)
福建省能源领域适应气候变化战略研究[J]. 林大荣.能源与环境,2020(06)
气象因子对夏季最大电力负荷的敏感性分析[J]. 任永建;熊守权;洪国平;程定芳.气象,2020(09)
2017年我国区域性高温过程特征及异常大气环流成因分析[J]. 王国复;叶殿秀;张颖娴;黄大鹏;侯威.气候变化研究进展,2018(04)
Changes in Extreme Maximum Temperature Events and Population Exposure in China under Global Warming Scenarios of 1.5 and 2.0°C: Analysis Using the Regional Climate Model COSMO-CLM[J]. Mingjin ZHAN;Xiucang LI;Hemin SUN;Jianqing ZHAI;Tong JIANG;Yanjun WANG.Journal of Meteorological Research,2018(01)
2013年长江中下游地区夏季高温事件的环流特征及成因[J]. 夏扬;徐海明.气象科学,2017(01)
上海市能源领域适应气候变化现状和对策研究[J]. 何淑英;金颖;齐康.上海节能,2015(12)
2003年江西高温酷热天气特征分析[J]. 许彬,许爱华,唐传师,赵艳.江西气象科技,2003(04)
Spatiotemporal Variation and Circulation Characteristics of Extreme Maximum Temperature Events in East China (1961–2020)[J]. Hu Jufang;Zhan Mingjin;Zhan Longfei;Xin Jiajie.Atmosphere,2022(4)
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