纸质出版:2026
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梅超, 刘家宏, 王佳, 等. 极端天气频发背景下超大城市洪涝韧性提升探析[J]. 水利发展研究, 2026,(2):1-11.
梅超, 刘家宏, 王佳, et al. 极端天气频发背景下超大城市洪涝韧性提升探析[J]. 2026, (2): 1-11.
梅超, 刘家宏, 王佳, 等. 极端天气频发背景下超大城市洪涝韧性提升探析[J]. 水利发展研究, 2026,(2):1-11. DOI: 10.13928/j.cnki.wrdr.2026.02.001.
梅超, 刘家宏, 王佳, et al. 极端天气频发背景下超大城市洪涝韧性提升探析[J]. 2026, (2): 1-11. DOI: 10.13928/j.cnki.wrdr.2026.02.001.
在气候变化等多因素影响下,城市洪涝灾害频发,对于超大城市而言,仅从对抗灾害的角度来构建城市洪涝防控体系难以完全奏效,将城市洪涝防治标准提升到极端灾害的级别也是不经济的,提升城市洪涝韧性成为超大城市应对极端暴雨洪涝灾害的重要方向。文章基于典型超大城市洪涝灾害调研与案例分析,从洪涝灾害防控的特殊复杂性、洪涝灾害链式放大效应、气候变化下的灾害不确定等方面梳理了超大城市洪涝灾害的基本特点,从风险普及、基层应对体系、就地应急措施和多维韧性建设方面剖析了超大城市洪涝韧性的主要不足,从预防和避险、感知和预警、联防联控、科技赋能等方面提出了超大城市洪涝韧性提升的基本策略,从洪涝灾害风险科普、构建大安全大应急框架、完善立体协同感知、强化精准预警叫应、强化灾害链阻断和加强洪涝智能化应对等方面提出了超大城市洪涝韧性提升的重要路径。研究成果从宏观上探析了我国超大城市洪涝韧性提升策略与路径,可为超大城市洪涝治理和韧性提升提供一定参考。
Against the backdrop of climate change and other multifactorial influences
urban flood disasters are becoming increasingly frequent. For megacities
constructing an urban flood control system solely from the perspective of combating disasters is unlikely to be fully effective and it is also uneconomical to raise urban flood control standards to the level required for extreme disasters. Therefore
improving urban flood resilience has become a critical direction for megacities in addressing extreme rainstorm and flood events. Based on the investigation of flood disasters and case studies from typical megacities
this paper explores the basic characteristics of flood disasters in megacities
focusing on the unique complexity of flood disaster prevention and control
the chain amplification effect of flood disasters
and the uncertainty of disasters under climate change. It identifies key deficiencies in the flood resilience of megacities
such as the lack of risk awareness
inadequate grassroots response systems
insufficient on-site emergency measures
and weak multidimensional resilience frameworks. The paper proposes basic strategies to enhance flood resilience
including strengthening prevention and risk avoidance
improving flood detection and early warning systems
implementing joint prevention and control measures
and leveraging technological empowerment. It further suggests specific pathways for resilience enhancement
including popularizing flood disaster risk education
constructing a comprehensive safety and emergency framework
enhancing three-dimensional collaborative perception
improving precise early warning and response systems
strengthening disaster chain interruption measures
and promoting intelligent flood response systems. The research provides a macroscopic analysis of strategies and pathways for improving the flood resilience of megacities in China and offers valuable reference for flood control and resilience enhancement efforts in such cities.
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