纸质出版:2025
移动端阅览
郭彦, 张广明, 王平, 等. 1956—2020年马连河流域极端径流变化特征分析[J]. 水利发展研究, 2025,(11):195-203.
郭彦, 张广明, 王平, et al. 1956—2020年马连河流域极端径流变化特征分析[J]. 2025, (11): 195-203.
郭彦, 张广明, 王平, 等. 1956—2020年马连河流域极端径流变化特征分析[J]. 水利发展研究, 2025,(11):195-203. DOI: 10.13928/j.cnki.wrdr.2025.11.031.
郭彦, 张广明, 王平, et al. 1956—2020年马连河流域极端径流变化特征分析[J]. 2025, (11): 195-203. DOI: 10.13928/j.cnki.wrdr.2025.11.031.
河川径流变化特征对流域洪旱灾害防治、生态治理、水资源开发利用等具有重要的指导作用。以1956—2020年马连河流域雨落坪水文站实测逐日径流量为对象,从量级、强度和频次3个方面构建了最大1日径流(Max1d)、最大3日径流(Max3d)、最大7日径流(Max7d)、最小1日径流(Min1d)、最小3日径流(Min3d)、最小7日径流(Min7d)、强径流量(R95)、极强径流量(R99)、弱径流量(R10)、极弱径流量(R5)、强径流量频数(Rd95)、极强径流量频数(Rd99)、弱径流量频数(Rd10)和极弱径流量频数(Rd5)等14个极端径流指标,采用Mann-Kendall趋势检验法、累积距平法、有序聚类法和小波分析法,深入分析了马连河流域极端径流指标的趋势性、突变性及周期性变化特征。结果表明,Max1d、Max3d、Max7d、R99及Rd99呈下降趋势,R95、R10、R5、Rd95、Rd10及Rd5呈显著下降趋势,Min1d呈上升趋势,Min3d和Min7d呈显著上升趋势;Max1d、Max7d、R95、R99、Rd95及Rd99的突变年份为2004年,Max3d的突变年份为2005年,Min1d、Min3d及Min7d的突变年份为1970年,R10、R5、Rd10及Rd5的突变年份为1995年和2008年;14个极端径流指标的周期变化主要分为3~10a年际尺度的中振荡周期和11~40a年代际尺度的长振荡周期。
The variation characteristics of river runoff play an important guiding role in flood and drought disaster prevention of river basin
ecological management and water resources utilization. Based on the measured daily flow of Yuluoping Station in Malian River Basin from 1956 to 2020
from the three aspects of magnitude
intensity and frequency
this article constructs fourteen extreme runoff indexes
including annual maximum 1-day runoff(Max1d)
annual maximum 3-days runoff(Max3d)
annual maximum 7-days runoff(Max7d)
annual minimum 1-day runoff(Min1d)
annual minimum 3-days runoff(Min3d)
annual minimum 7-days runoff(Min7d)
strong runoff(R95)
extremely strong runoff(R99)
weak runoff(R10)
extremely weak runoff(R5)
strong runoff frequency(Rd95)
extremely strong runoff frequency(Rd99)
weak runoff frequency(Rd10) and extremely weakrunoff frequency(Rd5). The trend
mutation and periodicity of extreme runoff in Malian River Basinare analyzed by Mann-Kendall trend test
cumulative anomaly
sequential clustering and wavelet analysis. The results indicate that Max1d
Max3d
Max7d
R99 and Rd99 show a downward trend
R95
R10
R5
Rd95
Rd10 and Rd5 show a significantly downward trend
Min1d shows an upward trend
Min3d and Min7d show a significantly upward trend. The mutation years of Max1d
Max7d
R95
R99
Rd95 and Rd99 were 2004
the mutation year of Max3d was 2005
the mutation years of Min1d
Min3d and Min7d were 1970
and the mutation years of R10
R5
Rd10 and Rd5 were 1995 and 2008. The periodicity of 14 extreme runoff indexes can be mainly divided into 3~10a interannual scale medium oscillation period and 11~40a interdecadal scale long oscillation period.
0
浏览量
0
下载量
0
CSCD
关联资源
相关文章
相关作者
相关机构
京公网安备11010802024621