1. 中国石油新疆油田公司勘探开发研究院,新疆 克拉玛依 834000中国石油大学(华东)经济管理学院,山东,青岛,266580
2. 中国石油大学(华东)经济管理学院,山东,青岛,266580
[ "郑懿琼(1988—),女,本科,工程师,从事油气田开发、成本管控等方面的研究工作。地址:新疆维吾尔自治区克拉玛依市准噶尔路29号,邮政编码:834000。E-mail: zyq88060718@163.com" ]
[ "张涛(1980—),男,博士,教授,从事油田生产经营管理教学与研究工作。地址:山东省青岛市黄岛区长江西路66号,邮政编码:266580。E-mail: zhangtao@upc.edu.cn" ]
纸质出版:2024
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郑懿琼, 张涛, 刘海英, 等. 近废型稠油油藏火驱效益开发新思路[J]. 油气藏评价与开发, 2024,14(3):504-509.
ZHENG Yiqiong, ZHANG Tao, LIU Haiying, et al. New strategies of beneficial development of in-situ combustion in nearly abandoned heavy oil reservoirs[J]. Petroleum Reservoir Evaluation and Development, 2024, 14(3): 504-509.
郑懿琼, 张涛, 刘海英, 等. 近废型稠油油藏火驱效益开发新思路[J]. 油气藏评价与开发, 2024,14(3):504-509. DOI: 10.13809/j.cnki.cn32-1825/te.2024.03.020.
ZHENG Yiqiong, ZHANG Tao, LIU Haiying, et al. New strategies of beneficial development of in-situ combustion in nearly abandoned heavy oil reservoirs[J]. Petroleum Reservoir Evaluation and Development, 2024, 14(3): 504-509. DOI: 10.13809/j.cnki.cn32-1825/te.2024.03.020.
近废型稠油油藏难以通过常规开发方式有效动用剩余储量,火驱技术为此类油藏进一步提高采收率提供方向。现阶段,火驱技术已趋于成熟,但由于成本投入大、经济性差,火驱技术的推广应用面临困境。通过引入量本利分析法中的盈亏平衡模型和敏感性分析,从多维度的经营视角,揭示不同油价年产油量和成本的平衡关系,明确影响火驱经济性的关键指标,进而推动生产运行优化和决策效能提升。研究结果表明,由于储层前后认识差距大,投入力度大于产出力度,同时管控方向不明确,导致火驱成本有效性低,持续开发经营风险认识不足,影响油藏开发投入决策。研究结果为火驱的经营效益提升指明方向,也为近废型稠油油藏效益开发提供管理新思路。
Nearly abandoned heavy oil reservoirs present significant challenges for effective reserve utilization using conventional development methods. In-situ combustion technology emerges as a promising solution to enhance recovery from such reservoirs
although its widespread adoption is hindered by high investment costs and economic inefficiencies. This study employs a break-even model and sensitivity analysis within a volume-cost-benefit framework to explore the equilibrium between oil production costs and revenues under varying oil price scenarios from a multidimensional operational perspective. This approach clarifies the critical economic indices of fire-flooding operations and aims to optimize production operations and decision-making effectiveness. The findings reveal significant gaps in pre- and post-operation understanding of the reservoir
where inputs often surpass outputs
coupled with a lack of clear control strategies. These factors contribute to the low cost-effectiveness of in-situ combustion and insufficient grasp of sustained development and operational risks
ultimately impacting investment decisions in reservoir development. The study not only directs improvements in operational efficiency for in-situ combustion but also offers technical support and introduces new management strategies for the effective development of nearly abandoned heavy oil reservoirs.
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