1. 中国石化华东油气分公司勘探开发研究院,江苏 南京 210019中国石化国际石油勘探开发有限公司,北京,100029
2. 中国石化国际石油勘探开发有限公司,北京,100029
[ "周亚彤(1983 —),男,硕士,工程师,主要从事油气地质与储量研究工作。通讯地址:北京市朝阳区惠新东街甲6号,邮政编码:100029。E-mail: t-ytzhou.sipc@sinopec.com" ]
纸质出版:2020
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周亚彤. 延川南煤层气田动态特征和SEC动态储量评估方法研究[J]. 油气藏评价与开发, 2020,10(4):53-58.
ZHOU Yatong. Dynamic characteristics and SEC dynamic reserve assessment of CBM gas field in South Yanchuan[J]. Petroleum Reservoir Evaluation and Development, 2020, 10(4): 53-58.
周亚彤. 延川南煤层气田动态特征和SEC动态储量评估方法研究[J]. 油气藏评价与开发, 2020,10(4):53-58. DOI: 10.13809/j.cnki.cn32-1825/te.2020.04.008.
ZHOU Yatong. Dynamic characteristics and SEC dynamic reserve assessment of CBM gas field in South Yanchuan[J]. Petroleum Reservoir Evaluation and Development, 2020, 10(4): 53-58. DOI: 10.13809/j.cnki.cn32-1825/te.2020.04.008.
煤层气的SEC储量评估难点是:①煤层气的产量变化有其不同于常规油气的特点;②不同煤阶煤层气的开发规律存在差异。研究表明:深层高阶煤层气与浅层低阶煤层气在评估参数上差异很大。粉河盆地浅层低阶煤层气在评估参数上表现出上产快、峰值产量高和递减大的特点
而延川南深层、高阶煤层气则表现为排水达产时间较长、峰值产量较低和递减小的特点。总结出“三段式”产量预测模式的3种类型和4个亚类。对于I类
采取完整三段式预测
上产时间为28个月
稳产气产量850 m
3
/d
稳产期一年
递减率25 %。对于IIa亚类
产量已超过封顶产量
目前产量稳定
采取两段式预测
稳产期半年
递减率25 %;对于IIb亚类
排采时间长
目前产量稳定
虽未达到封顶产量
采取两段式预测
稳产期半年
递减率25 %。对于IIIa亚类
产量已超过封顶产量
目前产量在下降
采取一段式预测
递减率25 %;对于IIIb亚类
整体上产量在上升
但在评估基准日前产量出现下降
采取一段式预测
递减率25 %。利用该方法和评估参数进行的自评估结果与外方评估结果误差在±10 %
证明该方法和评估参数适用于延川南深层、高阶煤层气SEC储量评估。
The difficulty of SEC reserve assessment of CBM is: ①the yield change of CBM is different from conventional oil and gas; ②there are differences in the development rules of CBM with different coal ranks. The research shows that deep high-rank and shallow low-rank CBM vary greatly in the evaluation parameters: the shallow low-rank CBM in the Powder River Basin shows the characteristics of quickly entering of high yield period
high peak yield and large production decline
while the high-rank coal seam gas in the deep parts of South Yanchuan are characterized b
y longer drainage time
low peak yield and low decline. The three types and four sub-classes of the “three-segment” yield forecasting model are summarized. For type I
a complete three-stage forecast is adopted. The yield time is 28 months
the stable production output is 850 m
3
/d with the cycle for one year
and the decline rate is 25 %. For the IIa subcategory whose production has exceeded the capped production and is stable at present
or the IIb sub-class whose discharge time is long and the current production of which is stable
although the production hasn’t reached the capped production
two-stage forecast is adopted
the stable production period is half a year
and the decline rate is 25 %. For the IIIa subcategory whose production has exceeded the capped production and the production is declining at present
or the IIIb sub-category whose overall production is on the rise but goes down before the base date of assets evaluation
single-stage forecast is adopted
and the decline rate is 25 %. The error between the self-assessment result and the external assessment result by using this method and the assessment parameters is ±10 %
which proves that this method and the assessment parameters are suitable for the SEC reserve assessment of deep and high-order coalbed methane in south Yanchuan.
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