吴昇阳, 吴聃, 丁肇豪, et al. Liquidity Risk Quantification and Management of Utility Companies Based on Auction Revenue Rights[J]. 2026, 46(2): 520-531. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.241653.
With the advancement of the new round of electricity market reform
electricity transactions between provinces and regions have become more frequent
leading to a boom in the number of utility companies. Many small and medium-sized companies are facing a higher level of cash flow risk due to the lack of physical assets
and are prone to default and bankruptcy due to cash flow shortages
which affects the long-term healthy and safe operation of the market. Besides
the integration of large-scale renewable energy sources has led to increased congestion and electricity price volatility
increasing the financial risks on the sales side
which calls for an effective financial instrument. This paper evaluates the profit risk and cash flow risk of several congestion surplus allocation schemes for utility companies. Taking the PJM market in America as an example
this paper further analyzes the motivation and principles for hedging cash flow risks based on a mechanism combining financial transmission rights and auction revenue rights
and quantifies the demand-side cash flow risks. A case study based on the PJM 5-bus system is conducted to simulate the entire application
allocation
and settlement process of auction revenue rights. The case study verifies the effectiveness of the proposed mechanism in making the trade-off between cash flow risks and profit risks for utility companies.