EN基于数据学习的新能源高渗透电网频率风险评估
Data Learning-based Frequency Risk Assessment in a High-penetrated Renewable Power System
- 发电技术 2021年42卷第1期 页码：40-47
- 作者机构：
1.香港理工大学电机工程学系, 香港特别行政区 九龙区 999077
2.中国电力科学研究院有限公司, 北京市 海淀区 100192
3.东北大学信息科学与工程学院, 辽宁省 沈阳市 110819
- 作者简介：
[ "温佳鑫(1989)，男，博士研究生，主要研究方向为新能源扰动下的大电网频率风险评估，Jiaxin.wen@connect.polyu.hk" ]
卜思齐(1984)，男，博士，副教授，博士生导师，主要研究方向为电力电子化和智能信息化电力系统稳定控制分析与运行规划，本文通信作者，siqi.bu@polyu.edu.hk
[ "陈麒宇(1986)，男，博士，高级工程师，主要研究方向为新能源及电力系统分析与规划，chenqiyu@epri.sgcc.com.cn" ]
[ "周博文(1987)，男，博士，讲师，主要研究方向为电力系统稳定与控制、电动汽车与电网互动、储能、需求响应、新能源、能源互联网等，zhoubowen@ise.neu.edu.cn" ]
- 基金信息：国家自然科学基金(51807171);香港研究资助局基金(15200418);香港研究资助局基金(15219619);广东省自然科学基金(2019A1515011226)
DOI：10.12096/j.2096-4528.pgt.20105
中图分类号： TK81收稿：2020-09-30，
纸质出版：2021-02-28
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
温佳鑫, 卜思齐, 陈麒宇, 等. 基于数据学习的新能源高渗透电网频率风险评估[J]. 发电技术, 2021,42(1):40-47.
Jiaxin WEN, Siqi BU, Qiyu CHEN, et al. Data Learning-based Frequency Risk Assessment in a High-penetrated Renewable Power System[J]. Power Generation Technology, 2021, 42(1): 40-47.
温佳鑫, 卜思齐, 陈麒宇, 等. 基于数据学习的新能源高渗透电网频率风险评估[J]. 发电技术, 2021,42(1):40-47. DOI： 10.12096/j.2096-4528.pgt.20105.
Jiaxin WEN, Siqi BU, Qiyu CHEN, et al. Data Learning-based Frequency Risk Assessment in a High-penetrated Renewable Power System[J]. Power Generation Technology, 2021, 42(1): 40-47. DOI： 10.12096/j.2096-4528.pgt.20105.
摘要
新能源正在逐步代替传统发电厂为用户提供电能，但同时也为电网的安全运行带来了潜在的风险。因此，在规划阶段需要全面地对最大频率偏差越线风险进行概率评估。基于蒙特卡罗仿真（Monte Carlo simulation，MCS）的规划方法效率很低，而人工神经网络（artificial neural network，ANN）可以通过对数据的学习做出快速有效的预测。为此，提出一种基于MCS-ANN的区域频率概率评估方法，以实现对区域最大频率偏差越线风险的快速评估。首先，产生大量的随机扰动，仅对小部分扰动进行仿真；然后将这部分数据送入ANN进行训练，并将剩余的大部分扰动送入训练好的ANN进行输出预测；重复以上训练和预测的过程，将多次预测结果的平均值作为最终的预测输出，得到各个风险区间的概率分布情况。最后，在IEEE 10机39节点的系统上验证了所提方法的有效性。
Abstract
Renewable energy is gradually replacing traditional power plants to provide electricity for users
but it also brings potential risks to the safe operation of the power grid. Thus
in the planning stage
it is necessary to comprehensively evaluate the probability of violation risk of maximum frequency deviation. Planning method based on Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) is inefficient
while artificial neural network (ANN) can make fast and effective prediction by learning data. Therefore
this paper proposed an MCS-ANN algorithm to realize the rapid assessment of violation risk of regional maximum frequency deviation. Firstly
a large number of stochastic disturbances were generated
and only a small part of disturbances were used for MCS. Then
these data were sent to the neural network for training
and most of the remaining disturbances were sent to the trained neural network for output prediction. The above training and prediction processes were repeated. The average of multiple prediction results was used as the final prediction output
and the probability distribution of each risk interval was obtained. Finally
the effectiveness of the proposed MCS-ANN algorithm was verified on IEEE 10-machine 39-node system.
关键词
Keywords
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