国网电力科学研究院有限公司(南瑞集团有限公司),江苏,南京,211106
纸质出版:2026
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薛禹胜. 人工智能加持下的整体还原论(AI+WRT):复杂性研究的框架、实践与展望[J]. 中国电力, 2026, 59(9): 1−18.
XUE Yusheng. AI-augmented whole reductionism thinking (AI+WRT): a universal framework for complexity study, along with its practice and prospects[J]. 2026, 59(9): 1-18.
薛禹胜. 人工智能加持下的整体还原论(AI+WRT):复杂性研究的框架、实践与展望[J]. 中国电力, 2026, 59(9): 1−18. DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202608009
XUE Yusheng. AI-augmented whole reductionism thinking (AI+WRT): a universal framework for complexity study, along with its practice and prospects[J]. 2026, 59(9): 1-18. DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202608009.
复杂系统的认知至少面临着相互纠缠的3方面挑战:1)确定性模型行为的机理分析;2)高维不确定性场景的处置;3)模型真实性的改进。人工智能(artificial intelligence,AI)与整体还原思维(whole reductionism thinking,WRT)融合的方法论(AI+WRT)为破解这一难题提供了系统性的认知框架。WRT在长期互斥的整体论与还原论之间构建了保熵的双向信道,实现了确定性复杂模型的整体还原,快速提供整体模型演化行为的安全稳定裕度、时间断面上的微观特征(如轨迹断面特征根及能量转换率等动力学特征)及各种分岔的充要条件,并全面支撑灵敏度分析及决策优化。此外,将超高维不确定性空间网格化后,由AI技术按照预报预警信息,将离散化后的确定性案例按关注度大小排序,交由下层的WRT逐个算例地量化分析,直到风险可控。两层框架AI+WRT将不确定性范畴下的复杂性研究解耦为相对独立、又互相协同的任务序列,实现了认知的闭环。该方法论源于1987年创立的电力系统暂态稳定性的量化算法—扩展等面积准则(extended equal area criterion,EEAC)。此后,通过将直接描述应用领域问题的具身知识表述为由泛函和算子处理的函数对象,进而将复杂性研究的框架概念泛化为与应用领域知识解耦的WRT方法论。应用领域则从电力系统暂态稳定性拓展到Lorenz系统、不平衡弹性轴系动力学、智能电网、能源的信息物理系统、能源的信息-物理-社会系统,以及能源、环境与经济的信息-物理-社会系统。WRT进而与AI融合为不确定性复杂系统研究的方法论,即AI+WRT。经过近四十年工程实践与持续提炼,形成了从认识论的基础理论、可证实的模型行为机理分析算法,到工程验证的完整体系。将其演绎为由多个核心要点构成的逻辑链,包括确定性的WRT,不确定性的AI+WRT两层认知架构的设计,并通过在不同领域的工程实践,验证其适用性与可迁移性。展望了从复杂主观模型的行为认知出发,提升人类对客观存在的本体系统演化机理的认知前景,同时强调这将是永远在路上的艰辛之旅。
Cognition of complex systems faces the following three intertwined challenges: mechanism analysis of deterministic model behavior
handling of high-dimensional uncertainty scenarios
and improvement in model authenticity. The methodology (AI+WRT) that integrates artificial intelligence (AI) with whole reductionism thinking (WRT) provides a systematic cognitive framework to solve this dilemma. WRT constructs entropy-preserving bidirectional channels between the long-term mutually exclusive holism and reductionism
achieves whole reductionism of deterministic complex models. It provides the safety margin of the overall model
bifurcation conditions
and microscopic features on any time section
such as trajectory eigenvalues and energy conversion rate
and supports sensitivity analyses and optimal decision-making. On the other hand
after the ultra-high-dimensional uncertainty space grid-based
various AI technologies including LLMs and expert systems (ES) sort the discrete deterministic cases by attention level according to forecasting and early warning information
and assign them to the lower-layer
WRT
for case-by-case quantitative analysis. The two-layer framework
AI+WRT
decouples the study of uncertainty and complexity into two relatively independent yet collaborative frameworks
achieving a closed cognitive loop. This methodology originates from the quantization algorithm for transient stability analyses of power systems (extended equal area criterion
EEAC) established in 1987. Subsequently
by expressed by functionals and operators
the above thinking is separated from embodied knowledge of application domain problems
generalized into the WRT methodology
and further expanded into the methodology for researching uncertain complex models
AI+WRT. The application areas have expanded from transient stability of power systems to smart grid (CPS in power)
CPS in energy
cyber-physical-social-system (CPSS) in energy
and CPSS in energy-environment-economy (CPSS-EEE). After nearly forty years of engineering practice and refinement
a complete system has been formed
from epistemological foundations and operational frameworks to engineering validation. This paper defines it as a logical chain composed of several core points
including the design of a two-layer cognitive architecture of deterministic WRT and uncertainty AI+WRT. Through engineering practice in different fields
it verifies its applicability and transferability
summarizing it as a cognitive methodology for uncertain complex model behavior. Finally
it looks forward to enhancing human understanding of the evolution of objectively existing ontological systems starting from behavioral cognition based on complex subjective models. The article emphasizes that this will be a tough journey forever on the road.
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