区域碳双控下跨区电力间接碳排放核算方法

权培英; 金艳鸣; 徐沈智

doi:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202504020

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区域碳双控下跨区电力间接碳排放核算方法

“十五五”电力系统源网荷储协同规划运行关键技术 | 更新时间：2025-12-08

- 区域碳双控下跨区电力间接碳排放核算方法
- Accounting Methods for Indirect Carbon Emissions from Cross-regional Electricity under Dual Carbon Control Policies
- 中国电力 2025年58卷第10期页码：63-70
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 济南大学数学科学学院,山东,济南,250022
  2. 国网能源研究院有限公司,北京,102209
  3. 水电水利规划设计总院,北京,100120
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
  
  国家自然科学基金资助项目（碳-电-证市场耦合环境下灵活性调节资源的综合价值发现理论与方法，U22B20108）;国家电网有限公司科技项目（5108-202218280A-2-421-XG）。
- DOI：10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202504020
  中图分类号：
- 网络出版：2025-10-23，
  
  纸质出版：2025
- 稿件说明：
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权培英, 金艳鸣, 徐沈智. 区域碳双控下跨区电力间接碳排放核算方法[J]. 中国电力, 2025, 58(10): 63-70.

QUAN Peiying, JIN Yanming, XU Shenzhi. Accounting Methods for Indirect Carbon Emissions from Cross-regional Electricity under Dual Carbon Control Policies[J]. 2025, 58(10): 63-70.
权培英, 金艳鸣, 徐沈智. 区域碳双控下跨区电力间接碳排放核算方法[J]. 中国电力, 2025, 58(10): 63-70. DOI： 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202504020.

QUAN Peiying, JIN Yanming, XU Shenzhi. Accounting Methods for Indirect Carbon Emissions from Cross-regional Electricity under Dual Carbon Control Policies[J]. 2025, 58(10): 63-70. DOI： 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202504020.

摘要

跨区电力间接碳排放核算关系到中国“十五五”主要送端与受端地区的碳预算管理。针对传统属地法核算偏差大、绿证衔接不足等问题，提出按照电力来源地因子、流入地因子、煤电净调入量及绿证消费调整的4种核算方法，量化评估2023年跨区跨省电力碳排放转移规模，比较不同核算方法对区域碳预算的影响。研究表明：不同方法下跨区电力间接碳排放核算结果差异显著，华东、华北等电力受端区域碳排放核算结果波动幅度超10%；“全国平均因子×绿证调整”的核算机制可动态修正受端地区的碳排放责任，建议跨区电力间接碳排放核算须立足区域协同发展与电力资源配置效率，综合考虑送受端地区责任分担机制及绿证制度确定。

Abstract

The accounting of cross-regional electricity indirect carbon emissions is crucial to the carbon budget management of major power-sending and power-receiving regions during China's "15th Five-Year Plan" period. To address such issues as significant inaccuracies in traditional territorial-based accounting methods and insufficient integration of green electricity certificates

four alternative accounting methods

including the power source-based emission factor method

the power import-based emission factor method

the net coal-power transfer adjustment method

and the green certificate consumption adjustment method

are proposed to quantitatively assess the scale of carbon emission transfers via cross-regional and inter-provincial electricity transmission in 2023

and the impacts of different accounting methods on regional carbon budgets are compared. The study reveals that the accounting results of indirect carbon emissions from cross-regional electricity are varied significantly with different methods

with fluctuations exceeding 10% in key power-importing regions such as East China and North China; the accounting mechanism based on the "national average emission factor adjusted with green certificates" can dynamically refine the carbon emission responsibilities of power-importing regions. It is recommended that the accounting of indirect carbon emissions from cross-regional electricity transmission should be grounded in regional coordinated development and the efficiency of power resource allocation

with comprehensive consideration of the responsibility-sharing mechanisms between sending and receiving regions as well as the green certificate system.

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references

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