The low-carbon transformation of electricity has an overall strategic significance for China to achieve the goal of carbon neutrality. This paper presents an analysis and predictions of the power growth process and phased development goals in China in the next 40 years

on the basis of summarizing the developing process of low-carbon electricity in the past 10 years

and taking population

urbanization

economic aggregate

and economic structure as the boundary conditions and driving forces. We examine the influence of a variety of factors on the carbon emission level－such as fossil power proportion

terminal power consumption proportion

nuclear power development scale

and Carbon Capture

Utilization

and Storage (CCUS)－with the constraints of system security and supply-demand balance. We estimate that the total carbon emission from electricity will reach its peak around 2035

6 - 6.5 billion tons

and then be reduced year by year down to a level below 1 billion tons in 2060. With the help of CCUS technology

zero electricity emissions can be achieved. Finally

in view of the long-term coexistence of demand growth and low-carbon transformation

we suggest that future power development be based on the premise of safe supply

giving priority to the development of renewable energy power

multi-energy development

and a wider range of multi-energy complementary coordinated development and complementary operation.