Integrating Iterative Correlation Stability Analysis and Metaheuristic Hyperparameter Optimisation to Accelerate Data-Driven Modelling: A Case Study of Wind Power Forecasting
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Integrating Iterative Correlation Stability Analysis and Metaheuristic Hyperparameter Optimisation to Accelerate Data-Driven Modelling: A Case Study of Wind Power Forecasting
Integrating Iterative Correlation Stability Analysis and Metaheuristic Hyperparameter Optimisation to Accelerate Data-Driven Modelling: A Case Study of Wind Power Forecasting
IET Energy Systems Integration2026年8卷第1期
作者机构:
1. Department of Electrical Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Rajamangala University of Technology Thanyaburi, Pathum Thani,Thailand
2. School of Electrical Engineering, Institute of Engineering, Suranaree University of Technology, Nakhon Ratchasima,Thailand
Nitikorn Junhuathon, Keerati Chayakulkheeree. Integrating Iterative Correlation Stability Analysis and Metaheuristic Hyperparameter Optimisation to Accelerate Data-Driven Modelling: A Case Study of Wind Power Forecasting[J]. IET Energy Systems Integration, 2026,8(1).
Nitikorn Junhuathon, Keerati Chayakulkheeree. Integrating Iterative Correlation Stability Analysis and Metaheuristic Hyperparameter Optimisation to Accelerate Data-Driven Modelling: A Case Study of Wind Power Forecasting[J]. IET Energy Systems Integration, 2026, 8(1).
Nitikorn Junhuathon, Keerati Chayakulkheeree. Integrating Iterative Correlation Stability Analysis and Metaheuristic Hyperparameter Optimisation to Accelerate Data-Driven Modelling: A Case Study of Wind Power Forecasting[J]. IET Energy Systems Integration, 2026,8(1).DOI: 10.1049/esi2.70028.
Nitikorn Junhuathon, Keerati Chayakulkheeree. Integrating Iterative Correlation Stability Analysis and Metaheuristic Hyperparameter Optimisation to Accelerate Data-Driven Modelling: A Case Study of Wind Power Forecasting[J]. IET Energy Systems Integration, 2026, 8(1).DOI: 10.1049/esi2.70028.
Integrating Iterative Correlation Stability Analysis and Metaheuristic Hyperparameter Optimisation to Accelerate Data-Driven Modelling: A Case Study of Wind Power Forecasting
摘要
Abstract
This study proposes a two-stage methodological framework that simultaneously expedites model training and enhances predictive fidelity in wind power forecasting. In the first stage
input dimensionality is reduced through an initial correlation coefficient screening
followed by an iterative correlation stability analysis that retains only those instances exhibiting robust and persistent associations with the target variable. In the second stage
the hyperparameters of nonlinear autoregressive models with exogenous inputs are optimally calibrated via a grey wolf optimiser employing integer encoding. Empirical assessments conducted on extensive wind speed and wind power time series reveal that the streamlined feature set
coupled with optimised hyperparameters
reduces training time substantially while yielding superior forecasting accuracy relative to conventional baselines. Moreover
the refined wind speed estimates propagate to wind-power predictions
delivering additional performance gains. The findings corroborate the efficacy of integrating rigorous dimensionality reduction with metaheuristic hyperparameter tuning for data-driven wind power forecasting.
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相关作者
Jian Lou
Yechun Xin
Shouqi Jiang
Heyang Sun
Guoqing Li
Zhinong Wei
Sixian Li
Sheng Chen
相关机构
Key Laboratory of Modern Power System Simulation and Control & Renewable Energy Technology, Ministry of Education (Northeast Electric Power University)
Dayu College, Hohai University
School of Electrical and Power Engineering, Hohai University
School of Electrical Engineering, Shenyang University of Technology
Department of Electrical Engineering, National Taiwan University of Science and Technology, Taipei