Optimal power purchase decision-making for receiving-end power system considering uncertainties in two-level inter-provincial and intra-provincial electricity markets
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Optimal power purchase decision-making for receiving-end power system considering uncertainties in two-level inter-provincial and intra-provincial electricity markets
Optimal power purchase decision-making for receiving-end power system considering uncertainties in two-level inter-provincial and intra-provincial electricity markets
Energy Conversion and Economics2025年6卷第5期
作者机构:
1. School of Electrical Engineering, Zhejiang University,Hangzhou,China
2. State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Co., Ltd.,Hangzhou,China
Kaile Zeng, Si Zhang, Yunchu Wang, 等. Optimal power purchase decision-making for receiving-end power system considering uncertainties in two-level inter-provincial and intra-provincial electricity markets[J]. Energy Conversion and Economics, 2025,6(5).
Kaile Zeng, Si Zhang, Yunchu Wang, et al. Optimal power purchase decision-making for receiving-end power system considering uncertainties in two-level inter-provincial and intra-provincial electricity markets[J]. Energy Conversion and Economics, 2025, 6(5).
Kaile Zeng, Si Zhang, Yunchu Wang, 等. Optimal power purchase decision-making for receiving-end power system considering uncertainties in two-level inter-provincial and intra-provincial electricity markets[J]. Energy Conversion and Economics, 2025,6(5). DOI: 10.1049/enc2.70021.
Kaile Zeng, Si Zhang, Yunchu Wang, et al. Optimal power purchase decision-making for receiving-end power system considering uncertainties in two-level inter-provincial and intra-provincial electricity markets[J]. Energy Conversion and Economics, 2025, 6(5). DOI: 10.1049/enc2.70021.
Optimal power purchase decision-making for receiving-end power system considering uncertainties in two-level inter-provincial and intra-provincial electricity markets
摘要
Abstract
In this paper
an optimal power procurement decision-making model for the receiving-end power system considering uncertainties in two-level inter-provincial and intra-provincial markets is proposed. The model aims to achieve secure and economically efficient system dispatch under market coordination
ensuring rational resource utilization and intra-provincial supply-demand balance. First
a decision-making framework is established to mitigate renewable energy output fluctuations and enhance overall supply reliability under these two-level uncertainties. Second
leveraging scenario generation for inter-provincial market participant behavior uncertainties and introducing a fluctuation coefficient
an optimal procurement model based on information gap decision theory (IGDT) is developed to handle intra-provincial wind and solar power output uncertainty. Finally
the model is empirically validated using actual transaction data from a provincial receiving-end system in East China. Results demonstrate that increased inter-provincial bidding pressure and greater intra-provincial renewable output fluctuations both elevate system power supply costs. Crucially
the proposed model effectively quantifies the impact of uncertainty factors
enhancing the robustness of power procurement decisions.