Heping Jia, Yuchen Guo, Xiaobin Zhang, 等. Forecasting electricity prices in the spot market utilizing wavelet packet decomposition integrated with a hybrid deep neural network[J]. 全球能源互联网(英文), 2025,(5).
Heping Jia, Yuchen Guo, Xiaobin Zhang, et al. Forecasting electricity prices in the spot market utilizing wavelet packet decomposition integrated with a hybrid deep neural network[J]. Global Energy Interconnection, 2025, (5).
Heping Jia, Yuchen Guo, Xiaobin Zhang, 等. Forecasting electricity prices in the spot market utilizing wavelet packet decomposition integrated with a hybrid deep neural network[J]. 全球能源互联网(英文), 2025,(5). DOI: 10.1016/j.gloei.2025.03.003.
Heping Jia, Yuchen Guo, Xiaobin Zhang, et al. Forecasting electricity prices in the spot market utilizing wavelet packet decomposition integrated with a hybrid deep neural network[J]. Global Energy Interconnection, 2025, (5). DOI: 10.1016/j.gloei.2025.03.003.
Forecasting electricity prices in the spot market utilizing wavelet packet decomposition integrated with a hybrid deep neural network
Accurate forecasting of electricity spot prices is crucial for market participants in formulating bidding strategies.However
the extreme volatility of electricity spot prices
influenced by various factors
poses significant challenges for forecasting.To address the data uncertainty of electricity prices and effectively mitigate gradient issues
overfitting
and computational challenges associated with using a single model during forecasting
this paper proposes a framework for forecasting spot market electricity prices by integrating wavelet packet decomposition (WPD) with a hybrid deep neural network.By ensuring accurate data decomposition
the WPD algorithm aids in detecting fluctuating patterns and isolating random noise.The hybrid model integrates temporal convolutional networks (TCN)and long short-term memory(LSTM)networks to enhance feature extraction and improve forecasting performance.Compared to other techniques
it significantly reduces average errors
decreasing mean absolute error(MAE)by 27.3%
root mean square error(RMSE)by 66.9%
and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) by 22.8%.This framework effectively captures the intricate fluctuations present in the time series
resulting in more accurate and reliable predictions.