Exploring the driving factors and their mitigation potential in global energy-related CO<sub>2</sub> emission

Zhiyuan Ma; Shining Zhang; Fangxin Hou; Xin Tan; Fengying Zhang; Fang Yang; Fei Guo

doi:10.1016/j.gloei.2020.11.001

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Exploring the driving factors and their mitigation potential in global energy-related CO₂ emission

Solving Crisis | 更新时间：2026-07-15

- Exploring the driving factors and their mitigation potential in global energy-related CO₂ emission
- Exploring the driving factors and their mitigation potential in global energy-related CO₂ emission
- 全球能源互联网(英文) 2020年3卷第5期页码：413-422
- 作者机构：
  
  1. Global Energy Interconnection Development and Cooperation Organization, No. 8 Xuanwumennei Street,Beijing,P.R. China,100031
  2. Global Energy Interconnection Group Co., Ltd., No. 8 Xuanwumennei Street,Beijing,P.R. China,100031
  3. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Schlossplatz 1-A, Laxenburg,Austria,2361
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.1016/j.gloei.2020.11.001
  中图分类号：
- 网络首发：2020-12-09，
  
  纸质出版：2020-12-09
- 稿件说明：
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Zhiyuan Ma, Shining Zhang, Fangxin Hou, 等. Exploring the driving factors and their mitigation potential in global energy-related CO₂ emission[J]. 全球能源互联网(英文), 2020,3(5):413-422. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloei.2020.11.001.

Zhiyuan Ma, Shining Zhang, Fangxin Hou, et al. Exploring the driving factors and their mitigation potential in global energy-related CO₂ emission[J]. Global Energy Interconnection, 2020, 3(5): 413-422. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloei.2020.11.001.
Zhiyuan Ma, Shining Zhang, Fangxin Hou, 等. Exploring the driving factors and their mitigation potential in global energy-related CO₂ emission[J]. 全球能源互联网(英文), 2020,3(5):413-422. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloei.2020.11.001. DOI：

Zhiyuan Ma, Shining Zhang, Fangxin Hou, et al. Exploring the driving factors and their mitigation potential in global energy-related CO₂ emission[J]. Global Energy Interconnection, 2020, 3(5): 413-422. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloei.2020.11.001. DOI：

摘要

Abstract

In order to quantify the contribution of the mitigation strategies

an extended Kaya identity has been proposed in this paper for decomposing the various factors that influence the CO

emission. To this end

we provided a detailed decomposition of the carbon intensity and energy intensity

which enables the quantification of clean energy development and electrification. The logarithmic mean divisia index (LMDI) has been applied to the historical data to quantify the contributions of the various factors affecting the CO

emissions. Further

the global energy interconnection (GEI) scenario has been introduced for providing a systematic solution to meet the 2°C goal of the Paris Agreement. By combining LMDI with the scenario analysis

the mitigation potential of the various factors for CO

emission has been analyzed. Results from the historical data indicate that economic development and population growth contribute the most to the increase in CO

emissions

whereas improvement in the power generation efficiency predominantly helps in emission reduction. A numerical analysis

performed for obtaining the

projected future carbon emissions

suggests that clean energy development and electrification are the top two factors that can decrease CO

emissions

thus showing their great potential for mitigation in the future. Moreover

the carbon capture and storage technology serves as an important supplementary mitigation method.

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Exploring the driving factors and their mitigation potential in global energy-related CO2 emission

Exploring the driving factors and their mitigation potential in global energy-related CO2 emission

DOI：10.1016/j.gloei.2020.11.001

摘要

Abstract

关键词

Keywords

references

Exploring the driving factors and their mitigation potential in global energy-related CO₂ emission

Exploring the driving factors and their mitigation potential in global energy-related CO₂ emission