Zaid Allal, Hassan N. Noura, Ola Salman, 等. Power consumption prediction in warehouses using variational autoencoders and tree-based regression models[J]. 能源与人工环境(英文), 2026,7(2):295-316.
Zaid Allal, Hassan N. Noura, Ola Salman, et al. Power consumption prediction in warehouses using variational autoencoders and tree-based regression models[J]. Energy and Built Environment, 2026, 7(2): 295-316.
Zaid Allal, Hassan N. Noura, Ola Salman, 等. Power consumption prediction in warehouses using variational autoencoders and tree-based regression models[J]. 能源与人工环境(英文), 2026,7(2):295-316. DOI: 10.1016/j.enbenv.2024.12.003.
Zaid Allal, Hassan N. Noura, Ola Salman, et al. Power consumption prediction in warehouses using variational autoencoders and tree-based regression models[J]. Energy and Built Environment, 2026, 7(2): 295-316. DOI: 10.1016/j.enbenv.2024.12.003.
Power consumption prediction in warehouses using variational autoencoders and tree-based regression models
摘要
Abstract
Precise power consumption prediction is essential for efficient energy management
resource allocation
infrastructure planning
and cost optimization. In this paper
power consumption prediction is addressed using machine learning (ML) techniques. The CU-BEMS dataset is employed to represent power consumption and variations in ambient conditions within a seven-floor building. The dataset is explored
preprocessed
and analyzed. A theoretical framework linking power consumption and floor features is developed using a variational autoencoder (VAE) to compress all features from all zones on all floors into a latent space of only 15 features. This latent space is then combined with a specific zone (Zone 2) on a particular floor (Floor 6) and fed into a tree-based regressor layer to predict all features in this zone. A windowing function is used to create lagged versions of past data to predict future feature values in a multi-output scenario (6 outputs). It is found that for 1-hour-ahead forecasting
the ExtraTree regressor achieves the highest accuracy with a coefficient of determination (R2) of 97.4% and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.46. The prediction of power consumption features reaches 99.2%
specifically for the air conditioning unit’s consumed power. The proposed solution outperforms previous works
with LightGBM as the best regressor for 10-minute-ahead forecasting (MAE=0.218
R2=98.8) and 20-minute-ahead forecasting (MAE=0.317
R2=97.4). The proposed framework demonstrates its power in linking all floors and consumption zones
making it generalizable
accurate
transferable
and efficient for predicting power consumption within industrial facilities and habitats.