张 翔, 黄国日, 宋艺航, et al. Comprehensive evaluation research on the impact of power retail business liberalization to power grid enterprises based on system dynamics[J]. 2020, 22(1).
张 翔, 黄国日, 宋艺航, et al. Comprehensive evaluation research on the impact of power retail business liberalization to power grid enterprises based on system dynamics[J]. 2020, 22(1).DOI:
the domestic reform of the electric power system is comprehensively deepening
and the power retail business will be liberalized on a large scale
which will have a huge impact on the production and operation of power grid enterprises while bringing dividends to the society. The system dynamics model is introduced to conduct quantitative research. According to the business process
seven submodels of power retail business costrevenue model
power transmission and distribution business revenuscost model
power valueadded service revenuscost model
grid staff turnover model
cash flow model
demandside response model
power retail and related business profit model are respectively established. Based on the relevant data of the 2018 annual report of the electric power market in a province
the influence of the relevant indicators of the electric power grid is analyzed through three scenarios
namely the change of the growth rate of marketized electric power
the change of the agent electric power of the electric power selling company and the change of the price difference between the purchase and sale of electric power. The study has certain reference value for power grid enterprises to actively respond to the reform and carry out the evaluation of power system reform.