新疆夏尔希里1850—1870年森林生长抑制事件及启示

张瑞波; 杨田娥; 张齐兵; 杨巧玲; 谢帆; 张同文; 尚华明

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新疆夏尔希里1850—1870年森林生长抑制事件及启示

研究论文 | 更新时间：2025-11-16

- 新疆夏尔希里1850—1870年森林生长抑制事件及启示
- 新疆夏尔希里1850—1870年森林生长抑制事件及启示
- 沙漠与绿洲气象 2025年19卷第3期页码：51-58
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 中国气象局乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所
  2. 新疆树木年轮生态重点实验室/中国气象局树木年轮理化研究重点开放实验室
  3. 中国科学院植物研究所
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
  
  新疆维吾尔自治区重点实验室开放课题（2022D04005）;新疆维吾尔自治区天山英才培养计划（2022TSYCCX0003）;国家自然科学基金（42375054）;中国气象局青年创新团队（CMA2023QN08）
- DOI：
  中图分类号： P467;S718.5
- 纸质出版：2025
- 稿件说明：
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张瑞波, 杨田娥, 张齐兵, 等. 新疆夏尔希里1850—1870年森林生长抑制事件及启示[J]. 沙漠与绿洲气象, 2025,19(3):51-58.

张瑞波, 杨田娥, 张齐兵, et al. 新疆夏尔希里1850—1870年森林生长抑制事件及启示[J]. 2025, 19(3): 51-58.
张瑞波, 杨田娥, 张齐兵, 等. 新疆夏尔希里1850—1870年森林生长抑制事件及启示[J]. 沙漠与绿洲气象, 2025,19(3):51-58. DOI：

张瑞波, 杨田娥, 张齐兵, et al. 新疆夏尔希里1850—1870年森林生长抑制事件及启示[J]. 2025, 19(3): 51-58. DOI：

摘要

极端干旱事件的发生和影响在时间和空间上表现不同，扩展时空尺度上极端干旱事件的信息有助于认识其发生特征并准确评估影响。基于新疆夏尔希里雪岭云杉（Picea schrenkiana Fisch.et Mey）树木年轮样本，建立了近300年的树轮宽度年表序列，分析树木径向生长与气候因素的关系，探讨历史极端气候事件及其影响。结果表明：（1）树木径向生长与4月饱和水汽压差（VPD）显著负相关，且近年来呈增加趋势；（2）重大森林生长抑制事件出现在1850—1870年，树木径向生长速率为近300年最低；（3）森林生长抑制事件后期，有些树木表现出生长释放现象。夏尔希里地区在1850—1870年很可能发生了以大气干旱为主要特征的超级持续干旱事件。随着区域VPD持续升高，夏尔希里自然保护区面临极端干旱事件的风险也将升高，雪岭云杉林再次发生生长抑制事件甚至大面积死亡的风险将进一步增大。建议加强夏尔希里自然保护区森林生长的实时监测，准确评估森林生长的健康风险，制定防旱防灾的相应措施。

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