针对选择性催化还原(selective catalytic reduction
SCR)系统NOx出口浓度预测模型精度低、泛化能力不足的问题,建立基于改进粒子群算法(progressive particle swarm optimization algorithm
PrePSO)的最小二乘支持向量机(least squares support vector machine
LSSVM)预测模型。通过双重创新提升预测性能,首先,采用最优拉丁超立方采样方法进行粒子初始化,利用其空间填充特性使粒子均匀覆盖,有效避免了传统随机初始化导致的局部聚集;其次,对惯性权重与学习因子进行动态调整,构建非线性参数更新机制平衡全局探索与局部开发能力;最后,基于某电厂660 MW机组运行数据构建PrePSO-LSSVM模型,通过3种误差指标,与LSSVM、PSO-LSSVM模型的预测效果进行对比分析。结果表明,PrePSO-LSSVM模型预测精度较PSO-LSSVM模型提升30%以上,为SCR系统精准控硝提供了高效预测工具,降低了氨逃逸率。
According to the issues of low accuracy and insufficient generalization ability of NOx concentration prediction models in selective catalytic reduction(SCR)systems
it establishes a least squares support vector machine(LSSVM) prediction model based on the progressive particle swarm optimization algorithm(PrePSO).Through dual innovation enhancing predictive performance
firstly
it uses the optimal Latin hypercube sampling for particle initialization
utilizing its spatial filling properties to evenly cover the design domain
effectively avoiding local aggregation caused by traditional random initialization.Secondly
it dynamically adjusts the inertia weights and learning factors to construct a nonlinear parameter update mechanism that balances global exploration and local development capabilities.Finally
based on the operating data of a 660 MW unit in a power plant
it constructs a PrePSO-LSSVM model.Through three error indicators
it compares and analyzes the predictive performance of the PrePSO-LSSVM model with LSSVM and PSO-LSSVM models.The results show that the improved model improves the prediction accuracy by more than 30% compared to the basic model.This method provides an efficient predictive tool for precise control of NOx in SCR systems and has important engineering application value in reducing ammonia escape rate.
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