ZHANG Yu, MO Han, ZHANG Lieping. Photovoltaic power prediction based on fuzzy support vector machine[J]. Thermal power generation, 2017, 46(1): 116-120.
ZHANG Yu, MO Han, ZHANG Lieping. Photovoltaic power prediction based on fuzzy support vector machine[J]. Thermal power generation, 2017, 46(1): 116-120.DOI:
Influenced by meteorological factors such as light intensity
temperature
humidity and wind speed
the output of photovoltaic power generation system has the characteristics of fluctuation
indirectness and uncontrollable
the forecast results of photovoltaic power prediction has low accuracy.To solve this problem
this paper combines the fuzzy theory with support vector machine(SVM)method to predict the photovoltaic power generation.Firstly
the fuzzy membership degree value is calculated by the fuzzy Cmeans clustering algorithm.Then
the original sample is clustered to generate the fuzzy sample.Secondly
the support vector machine is applied to train the fuzzy sample.Finally
the FSVM forecast model is employed to predict the next few days' photovoltaic power capacity.The MATLAB experimental results show that
the accuracy of the model is higher compared with the BP and SVM model.The FSVM model can overcome the conventional troubles such as easily going into the minimum problem and uncertain meterorological factors.