YANG Qianpeng, LIN Weijie, WANG Yueming, et al. Investigations on competition tendency and substitution time of power generation form[J]. Thermal power generation, 2017, 46(5): 1-7.
YANG Qianpeng, LIN Weijie, WANG Yueming, et al. Investigations on competition tendency and substitution time of power generation form[J]. Thermal power generation, 2017, 46(5): 1-7.DOI:
The total energy consumption in China will continually increase in the future
facing two major trends including improving electrification level and changing in resources and environment. By the year of 2050
the power generation industry in China will maintain fast developing status
transforming and upgrading from the conventional energy power generation to new energy power generation
under the influences of resources
environments and the society. By comparing the technical specifications
economic indicators and other factors of the conventional energy power generation forms with that of the new energy power generation forms
the competition trends among different power generation forms were analyzed. The definition of substitution and the overall substitution trend between the conventional energy power generation and the new energy power generation were discussed. Taking coal-fired power generation as the example
the substitution potentials of the new energy power generation forms in the substitution range and the substitution time in different scenarios were discussed. The development strategies of technology research and industry application in power generation field under the substitution trend were put forward
which can provide references for development direction of power generation industry in China during the 13 th Five-Year Plan period and further future.