1. 中国电力科学研究院有限公司
2. 华北电力大学电气与电子工程学院
网络出版:2018-11-22,
纸质出版:2018
移动端阅览
李二霞, 亢超群, 李玉凌, 等. 基于设备状态评价和电网损失风险的配电网检修计划优化模型[J]. 高电压技术, 2018,44(11):3751-3759.
LI Erxia, KANG Chaoqun, LI Yuling, et al. Optimization Model of Distribution Network Maintenance Plan Based on Equipment Condition Evaluation and Grid Loss Risk[J]. 2018, 44(11): 3751-3759.
为解决配网检修计划制定重视网架结构和负荷而忽视设备差异及实时状态的问题
提出了一种基于设备状态评价和电网损失风险计算的配电网检修计划优化模型。建立了设备健康指数与未来所分析时间内失效率矩阵的计算方法
并给出了关键参数。基于动态变化失效率和配电网网架拓扑
采用最小路法计算获得了正常运行及检修情况下整个配电网负荷点失效率和负荷点故障时间。建立了考虑正常及检修情况下配网缺供电量、负荷点重要性、设备价值及故障维修成本的故障电网、故障设备损失风险模型、检修电网损失风险模型和检修设备损失风险模型。结果表明:论文所提出的优化模型综合考虑上述风险模型的计算风险决策值
实现了检修计划的优化;同时
利用动态变化失效率代替传统检修计划制定过程中的历史平均失效率
克服了传统状态评价检修方案制定过程中未计及配电设备检修而导致网架结构薄弱所引发的配网缺供电损失风险。利用该模型对南京某配电网实际案例开展的计算获得了配网风险决策值
计算结果表明:设备多、负荷大、检修时间晚等单一风险因素不一定决定了配电网的风险值
该模型确定的检修方案整体费用低于其他方案
满足实际工程的需要。研究结果证明了基于设备状态评价的配电网检修计划优化的可行性
所提方法同样适用于更高电压等级网络的检修计划优化。
Traditional maintenance plans of distribution network focus on grid structure and load while ignoring equipment difference and real-time equipment status. In order to solve the problems
we established an optimization model of distribution network maintenance plan based on equipment condition evaluation and grid loss risk calculation
put forward a calculation method of the matrix between an equipment health index and a failure rate in the future analysis time
and presented the key parameters. Based on the dynamic failure rate and the distribution network topology
the minimum road method was adopted to obtain the failure rate and the load point failure time of the whole distribution network under normal conditions and maintenance conditions. Then
the risk model of the loss of a power grid caused by failure
the loss of equipment failure
the loss of the power grid caused by maintenance
and the loss of the equipment caused by maintenance were established based on the risk of the loss of the power supply
the importance of the load point
the equipment value
and the maintenance cost. The results show that the optimization model proposed in the paper comprehensively considers the risk decision value calculated by the above risk model
realizing the optimization of the maintenance plan. Meanwhile
the historical average failure rate in the process of the traditional maintenance plan was replaced by the dynamic change failure rate
overcoming the traditional condition evaluation disadvantages caused by the maintenance without taking the weak power distribution network into account. Finally
the model was used to calculate an actual case of a distribution network in Nanjing
and the decision values of distribution network risk were obtained.The calculation results show that the risk value of the distribution network is not necessarily determined by single risk factor such as multiple equipment
heavy load
and late maintenance time
the overall cost of the maintenance plan determined by the model is lower than other schemes and it meet the needs of actual projects. The research results validate the feasibility of the optimization of the distribution network maintenance plan based on the equipment status evaluation
and the proposed method is also applicable to the maintenance plan optimization of the higher voltage level network.
0
浏览量
0
下载量
15
CSCD
关联资源
相关文章
相关作者
相关机构
京公网安备11010802024621