YU Hua, LU Jiping, ZENG Yanting, et al. Nonlinear Combined Model for Wind Power Forecasting Based on Different Optimization Criteria and Generalized Regression Neural Network[J]. 2019, 45(3): 1002-1008.
YU Hua, LU Jiping, ZENG Yanting, et al. Nonlinear Combined Model for Wind Power Forecasting Based on Different Optimization Criteria and Generalized Regression Neural Network[J]. 2019, 45(3): 1002-1008.DOI:
In order to improve the accuracy of wind power forecasting
a nonlinear combined model for wind power forecasting based on different optimization criteria and generalized regression neural network(GRNN) is proposed. The grey correlation analysis method is applied to select the forecasting models in which the comprehensive grey correlation values are greater than zero. Based on the three selected models
different linear combined forecasting models are built with the minimum average relative error
minimum mean absolute error
and minimum root mean square error as the optimization criterion
respectively. The GRNN is used to establish the nonlinear combined forecasting model by the three linear combined models and then obtain the optimized model. The verification with the real measured data of a wind farm shows that
compared with the single forecasting models
linear combined forecasting models
the proposed optimized model improves the forecasting accuracy effectively
which proves its effectiveness and practicability.