LIU Yunpeng, XU Ziqiang, FU Haochuan, et al. Insulation Condition Assessment Method of Power Transformer Based on Improved Extension Cloud Theory With Optimal Cloud Entropy[J]. 2020, 46(2): 397-405.
LIU Yunpeng, XU Ziqiang, FU Haochuan, et al. Insulation Condition Assessment Method of Power Transformer Based on Improved Extension Cloud Theory With Optimal Cloud Entropy[J]. 2020, 46(2): 397-405.DOI:
采用最优云熵改进可拓云理论的变压器本体绝缘状态评估方法
摘要
状态评估是电力设备状态检修及健康管理的关键环节。以220 kV油浸式电力变压器为研究对象
构建了一种基于最优云熵改进可拓云理论的变压器本体绝缘状态评估模型。首先
针对绝缘状态等级边界的随机性与模糊性问题
提出使用可拓云理论来构建状态评估的基础理论框架;然后
在充分考虑等级划分分明性与模糊性特点的基础上
提出一种可自适应评估对象的最优云熵计算方法
实现了对传统可拓云理论的改进;最后
针对单一赋权方法存在的不足
构建了一种基于模糊集值统计法与熵权法的主客观组合赋权模型
实现了指标权重基于信息变化程度的动态调整。实例研究表明
相较于传统理论
该文所提方法能够有效处理变压器状态评估中的不确定性因素
其评估结果更接近设备的真实状态
具备较高的应用可行性。
Abstract
Condition assessment is the key link in the condition maintenance and health management of the power equipment. Taking 220 kV oil-immersed transformers as the research object
we proposed an insulation condition assessment method based on improved extension cloud theory with optimal cloud entropy. Firstly
aiming at the randomness and fuzziness problem of insulation condition level boundary information
we constructed a basic theoretical framework of condition assessment based on extension cloud theory. Afterwards
considering the clarity and ambiguity of the grade division
we proposed a calculation method of optimal cloud entropy that can be adaptive to the evaluation object
and realized the improvement of the traditional extension cloud theory. Finally
in view of the shortcomings of subjective weighting method and objective weighting method
a combination weighting model based on fuzzy set-valued statistical method and entropy weight method was constructed to realize the dynamic adjustment of the index weight based on the degree of information change. Case studies and comparison analysis with traditional methods show that the proposed method can be adopted to effectively deal with the uncertainty factors in the insulation condition assessment
and its evaluation results are closer to the actual state of equipment
so the proposed method has a certain application feasibility.